Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.5#107
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#144
Pace73.9#72
Improvement+0.9#109

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#82
First Shot+2.9#99
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#144
Layup/Dunks+0.2#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#39
Freethrows-0.4#199
Improvement+0.7#112

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#143
First Shot-0.5#186
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#70
Layups/Dunks-4.2#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#101
Freethrows+3.1#20
Improvement+0.2#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 41.6% 23.8% 46.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 10
Quad 22 - 63 - 16
Quad 32 - 26 - 18
Quad 41 - 07 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 5   Villanova L 67-76 11%     0 - 1 +8.7 +5.1 +2.9
  Nov 26, 2020 67   Rhode Island W 69-64 36%     1 - 1 +13.3 -1.9 +14.9
  Nov 30, 2020 79   St. John's L 93-97 40%     1 - 2 +3.0 +6.2 -2.5
  Dec 03, 2020 22   Florida L 70-90 19%     1 - 3 -6.3 -3.7 -0.5
  Dec 08, 2020 25   @ Minnesota L 80-85 OT 16%     1 - 4 +10.1 +3.3 +7.5
  Dec 12, 2020 44   Syracuse L 63-101 32%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -28.8 -13.2 -11.8
  Dec 22, 2020 319   Maine W 78-62 94%     2 - 5 +3.2 -0.7 +3.0
  Dec 30, 2020 68   @ North Carolina St. L 76-79 30%     2 - 6 0 - 2 +7.0 +6.2 +0.8
  Jan 02, 2021 37   Louisville L 64-76 31%     2 - 7 0 - 3 -2.2 -5.4 +3.2
  Jan 06, 2021 53   @ Duke L 82-83 23%     2 - 8 0 - 4 +11.3 +9.7 +1.7
  Jan 09, 2021 8   Virginia L 49-61 15%     2 - 9 0 - 5 +3.6 -7.8 +9.2
  Jan 12, 2021 93   Miami (FL) W 84-62 52%     3 - 9 1 - 5 +26.0 +20.2 +7.4
  Jan 16, 2021 82   @ Notre Dame L 70-80 35%     3 - 10 1 - 6 -1.4 -2.6 +1.2
  Jan 26, 2021 55   @ Clemson L 66-74 20%    
  Jan 30, 2021 37   @ Louisville L 68-77 17%    
  Feb 02, 2021 14   Florida St. L 74-83 22%    
  Feb 06, 2021 68   North Carolina St. L 76-78 47%    
  Feb 10, 2021 103   Wake Forest W 78-76 60%    
  Feb 16, 2021 51   @ Georgia Tech L 70-78 20%    
  Feb 20, 2021 44   @ Syracuse L 73-81 19%    
  Feb 23, 2021 35   North Carolina L 72-78 34%    
  Feb 27, 2021 82   Notre Dame L 77-78 53%    
  Mar 03, 2021 14   @ Florida St. L 72-85 10%    
  Mar 05, 2021 93   @ Miami (FL) L 71-74 35%    
Projected Record 6 - 18 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 1.0 0.1 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 3.9 2.3 0.1 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 4.9 5.3 0.7 0.0 11.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 6.2 9.4 2.7 0.1 19.2 13th
14th 0.0 1.7 8.4 12.2 4.7 0.3 27.3 14th
15th 2.6 8.8 10.0 4.1 0.5 0.0 26.0 15th
Total 2.7 10.5 19.1 23.1 20.3 13.4 7.0 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.2% 8.3% 2.8% 5.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.7%
9-11 0.9% 2.0% 1.3% 0.7% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.7%
8-12 2.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.2%
7-13 7.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
6-14 13.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 13.3
5-15 20.3% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 20.2
4-16 23.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.1
3-17 19.1% 19.1
2-18 10.5% 10.5
1-19 2.7% 2.7
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%