Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#287
Expected Predictive Rating-9.7#299
Pace65.3#280
Improvement-0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#217
First Shot-5.6#307
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#16
Layup/Dunks+0.2#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#131
Freethrows-3.6#338
Improvement-0.2#182

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#318
First Shot-6.6#331
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#120
Layups/Dunks-7.1#342
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#20
Freethrows-1.9#290
Improvement+0.2#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 2.0% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 4.2% 11.9% 1.9%
.500 or above in Conference 6.2% 17.6% 2.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.4% 3.5% 17.6%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.7%
First Round0.8% 1.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 22.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 11 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 43 - 26 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 04, 2021 323   @ Holy Cross W 83-76 57%     1 - 0 1 - 0 -2.4 -2.6 -0.4
  Jan 05, 2021 323   Holy Cross L 66-68 70%     1 - 1 1 - 1 -15.1 -9.8 -5.5
  Jan 09, 2021 80   Colgate L 79-86 12%     1 - 2 1 - 2 -1.9 +2.7 -4.3
  Jan 10, 2021 80   Colgate L 45-89 12%     1 - 3 1 - 3 -38.9 -27.1 -13.1
  Jan 16, 2021 193   Army L 59-79 37%     1 - 4 1 - 4 -24.3 -12.5 -12.4
  Jan 17, 2021 193   Army L 65-76 37%     1 - 5 1 - 5 -15.3 -3.2 -13.0
  Jan 23, 2021 196   @ Lafayette W 81-76 26%     2 - 5 2 - 5 +4.1 +6.5 -2.2
  Jan 24, 2021 196   @ Lafayette L 69-76 23%    
  Jan 30, 2021 323   @ Holy Cross W 73-71 52%    
  Jan 31, 2021 323   Holy Cross W 75-70 73%    
  Feb 06, 2021 80   @ Colgate L 67-83 5%    
  Feb 07, 2021 80   @ Colgate L 67-83 5%    
  Feb 13, 2021 193   @ Army L 66-73 23%    
  Feb 14, 2021 193   @ Army L 66-73 22%    
  Feb 20, 2021 323   Holy Cross W 75-70 72%    
  Feb 21, 2021 323   @ Holy Cross W 73-71 52%    
Projected Record 5 - 11 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.2 3rd
4th 0.4 2.8 2.9 0.5 6.5 4th
5th 0.8 6.9 7.7 1.5 0.1 16.9 5th
6th 0.2 9.1 12.6 3.5 0.1 25.4 6th
7th 0.0 2.7 11.7 3.3 0.1 17.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 8.9 4.4 0.1 14.8 8th
9th 0.8 5.1 5.7 0.4 12.0 9th
10th 1.8 2.9 0.5 5.2 10th
Total 2.6 9.4 18.0 26.2 23.3 14.2 5.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 50.0% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.2
9-7 1.1% 3.6% 3.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
8-8 5.0% 4.6% 4.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.7
7-9 14.2% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 13.9
6-10 23.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.4 22.9
5-11 26.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 26.0
4-12 18.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.0
3-13 9.4% 9.4
2-14 2.6% 2.6
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.8%