Cal Poly
Big West
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.4#333
Expected Predictive Rating-14.4#329
Pace68.6#212
Improvement-0.4#197

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#327
First Shot-7.7#333
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#185
Layup/Dunks-4.8#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#253
Freethrows-1.4#259
Improvement-1.4#265

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#313
First Shot-7.4#340
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#54
Layups/Dunks-3.2#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#260
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#227
Freethrows-1.9#288
Improvement+0.9#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 70.5% 52.2% 84.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Home) - 42.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 30 - 50 - 12
Quad 43 - 64 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 04, 2020 75   San Francisco L 60-88 5%     0 - 1 -22.6 -14.8 -5.2
  Dec 09, 2020 164   Santa Clara L 69-76 15%     0 - 2 -9.2 +0.1 -9.4
  Dec 13, 2020 321   San Jose St. W 73-71 47%     1 - 2 -10.7 -15.7 +4.8
  Dec 16, 2020 194   San Diego L 61-70 20%     1 - 3 -13.5 -10.5 -3.3
  Dec 19, 2020 125   @ Loyola Marymount L 52-76 6%     1 - 4 -19.4 -12.7 -7.9
  Jan 08, 2021 145   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 49-62 7%     1 - 5 -10.0 -11.4 -0.8
  Jan 09, 2021 145   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 50-67 7%     1 - 6 -14.0 -14.0 -1.5
  Jan 15, 2021 138   UC Riverside L 51-86 11%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -34.9 -17.8 -17.3
  Jan 16, 2021 138   UC Riverside L 53-70 11%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -16.9 -10.8 -7.9
  Jan 22, 2021 105   @ UC Irvine L 49-68 4%     1 - 9 0 - 3 -12.4 -16.1 +2.6
  Jan 23, 2021 105   @ UC Irvine L 44-67 4%     1 - 10 0 - 4 -16.4 -21.7 +4.2
  Jan 29, 2021 297   Cal St. Northridge L 73-76 43%    
  Jan 30, 2021 297   Cal St. Northridge L 73-76 43%    
  Feb 12, 2021 244   Cal St. Fullerton L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 13, 2021 244   Cal St. Fullerton L 66-72 32%    
  Feb 19, 2021 267   @ Long Beach St. L 72-81 18%    
  Feb 20, 2021 267   @ Long Beach St. L 72-81 19%    
  Feb 26, 2021 228   UC Davis L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 27, 2021 228   UC Davis L 72-79 29%    
  Mar 05, 2021 89   @ UC Santa Barbara L 58-79 2%    
  Mar 06, 2021 89   @ UC Santa Barbara L 58-79 2%    
Projected Record 3 - 18 2 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.9 4th
5th 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 1.0 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.3 3.6 3.1 0.2 7.1 7th
8th 0.3 4.3 7.6 0.7 0.0 12.9 8th
9th 0.4 6.0 11.1 2.8 0.0 20.4 9th
10th 8.8 19.9 17.9 6.3 0.3 53.2 10th
Total 8.8 20.3 24.3 21.9 14.5 7.0 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0% 0.0
8-8 0.2% 0.2
7-9 0.5% 0.5
6-10 2.5% 2.5
5-11 7.0% 7.0
4-12 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
3-13 21.9% 21.9
2-14 24.3% 24.3
1-15 20.3% 20.3
0-16 8.8% 8.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.8%