Central Connecticut St.
Northeast
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.5#334
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#325
Pace72.4#112
Improvement-1.3#251

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#321
First Shot-3.7#273
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#314
Layup/Dunks-5.2#325
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#69
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#92
Freethrows-2.9#322
Improvement-3.2#336

Defense
Total Defense-6.7#326
First Shot-7.2#337
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#144
Layups/Dunks-4.0#292
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#244
Freethrows-1.3#263
Improvement+1.9#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.0% 4.7% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% 0.9% 0.5%
First Round0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Away) - 15.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 44 - 75 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 26   @ Connecticut L 75-102 1%     0 - 1 -12.0 +5.5 -15.7
  Nov 27, 2020 192   Army L 57-79 15%     0 - 2 -24.5 -16.8 -7.2
  Dec 04, 2020 221   @ Hartford L 65-80 14%     0 - 3 -17.2 -11.1 -5.0
  Dec 08, 2020 314   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 94-87 31%     1 - 3 1 - 0 -1.3 +6.4 -8.4
  Dec 09, 2020 314   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-79 31%     1 - 4 1 - 1 -16.3 -10.6 -5.5
  Dec 15, 2020 288   St. Francis Brooklyn L 86-91 35%     1 - 5 1 - 2 -14.5 -4.0 -9.8
  Dec 16, 2020 288   St. Francis Brooklyn W 78-59 35%     2 - 5 2 - 2 +9.5 +1.8 +7.9
  Jan 07, 2021 170   @ Bryant L 68-93 9%     2 - 6 2 - 3 -23.9 -15.5 -4.6
  Jan 08, 2021 170   @ Bryant L 64-76 9%     2 - 7 2 - 4 -10.9 -11.5 +1.0
  Jan 14, 2021 307   @ Sacred Heart L 48-65 28%     2 - 8 2 - 5 -24.5 -29.9 +5.8
  Jan 21, 2021 231   Mount St. Mary's L 57-67 25%     2 - 9 2 - 6 -16.5 -10.5 -7.2
  Jan 22, 2021 231   Mount St. Mary's L 57-67 25%     2 - 10 2 - 7 -16.5 -10.5 -7.2
  Jan 30, 2021 257   @ St. Francis (PA) L 68-78 15%    
  Jan 31, 2021 257   @ St. Francis (PA) L 68-78 16%    
  Feb 04, 2021 307   Sacred Heart L 72-74 47%    
  Feb 11, 2021 302   Merrimack L 65-68 44%    
  Feb 12, 2021 302   Merrimack L 65-68 44%    
  Feb 20, 2021 220   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-81 13%    
  Feb 21, 2021 220   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-81 13%    
  Feb 25, 2021 293   Wagner L 67-71 39%    
  Feb 26, 2021 293   Wagner L 67-71 41%    
Projected Record 5 - 16 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.1 0.3 3rd
4th 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 1.2 0.2 1.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 1.1 4.0 6th
7th 0.4 3.7 4.0 0.2 8.3 7th
8th 0.9 6.6 8.8 1.3 0.0 17.7 8th
9th 0.8 5.9 14.1 13.6 3.2 0.1 37.6 9th
10th 4.9 10.8 10.2 3.3 0.2 29.3 10th
11th 11th
Total 5.6 16.7 25.2 23.9 16.3 8.3 3.0 0.8 0.2 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 18.9% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.2% 0.2
9-9 0.8% 0.8
8-10 3.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 2.9
7-11 8.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 8.1
6-12 16.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 16.1
5-13 23.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 23.9
4-14 25.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 25.1
3-15 16.7% 16.7
2-16 5.6% 5.6
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.6 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.6%