Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#341
Expected Predictive Rating-23.6#347
Pace68.2#228
Improvement-1.6#270

Offense
Total Offense-9.7#341
First Shot-8.1#338
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#259
Layup/Dunks-5.4#325
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#189
Freethrows-1.6#268
Improvement+1.9#54

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#298
First Shot-3.0#270
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#260
Layups/Dunks-4.4#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#254
Freethrows+0.6#156
Improvement-3.5#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 1.4% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 63.3% 40.6% 66.0%
First Four0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Asheville (Away) - 10.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 44 - 124 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 64   @ North Carolina St. L 61-95 2%     0 - 1 -24.0 -15.9 -4.0
  Nov 27, 2020 166   Eastern Kentucky L 50-60 11%     0 - 2 -10.4 -23.9 +14.0
  Dec 01, 2020 318   N.C. A&T L 63-70 42%     0 - 3 -19.0 -18.9 +0.2
  Dec 21, 2020 317   Hampton L 55-67 42%     0 - 4 0 - 1 -24.0 -23.9 -0.1
  Dec 22, 2020 317   Hampton L 68-70 42%     0 - 5 0 - 2 -14.0 -10.9 -3.1
  Jan 04, 2021 112   Winthrop L 69-85 7%     0 - 6 0 - 3 -13.5 -8.6 -3.7
  Jan 05, 2021 112   Winthrop L 76-78 7%     0 - 7 0 - 4 +0.5 -0.4 +1.1
  Jan 09, 2021 243   Radford L 64-79 24%     0 - 8 0 - 5 -21.7 -9.7 -12.3
  Jan 10, 2021 243   Radford L 48-68 24%     0 - 9 0 - 6 -26.7 -25.3 -2.2
  Jan 14, 2021 217   @ UNC Asheville L 54-92 14%     0 - 10 0 - 7 -40.1 -21.4 -18.3
  Jan 15, 2021 217   @ UNC Asheville L 64-76 10%    
  Jan 19, 2021 310   South Carolina Upstate L 66-69 45%    
  Jan 20, 2021 310   South Carolina Upstate L 66-69 46%    
  Jan 24, 2021 277   @ Campbell L 62-70 18%    
  Jan 25, 2021 277   @ Campbell L 62-70 19%    
  Jan 29, 2021 220   @ Gardner-Webb L 63-75 11%    
  Jan 30, 2021 220   @ Gardner-Webb L 63-75 12%    
  Feb 04, 2021 274   @ High Point L 61-70 18%    
  Feb 05, 2021 274   @ High Point L 61-70 18%    
  Feb 11, 2021 298   Longwood L 63-67 41%    
  Feb 12, 2021 298   Longwood L 63-67 41%    
  Feb 18, 2021 340   @ Presbyterian L 64-66 39%    
  Feb 19, 2021 340   @ Presbyterian L 64-66 39%    
Projected Record 4 - 19 4 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 1.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.2 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 4.0 1.1 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.6 6.2 3.3 0.2 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 1.5 6.9 11.8 6.3 0.7 0.0 27.2 10th
11th 3.1 10.1 16.1 13.6 5.3 0.5 0.0 48.7 11th
Total 3.1 10.1 17.6 20.5 18.8 14.3 9.0 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 19.5% 19.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.2% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2
9-11 0.6% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6
8-12 1.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 1.7
7-13 4.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.0
6-14 9.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-15 14.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.3
4-16 18.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.7
3-17 20.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 20.5
2-18 17.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.6
1-19 10.1% 10.1
0-20 3.1% 3.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.6%