Chicago St.
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-20.5#347
Expected Predictive Rating-16.2#335
Pace71.4#138
Improvement+0.5#140

Offense
Total Offense-15.6#347
First Shot-10.7#345
After Offensive Rebound-4.8#346
Layup/Dunks-7.6#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#299
Freethrows-1.4#259
Improvement+0.4#129

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#303
First Shot-2.6#259
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#312
Layups/Dunks-3.4#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#56
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#196
Freethrows-0.6#211
Improvement+0.1#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 40 - 40 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 128   Ohio L 61-84 3%     0 - 1 -20.4 -14.4 -5.9
  Nov 26, 2020 9   @ Illinois L 38-97 0.2%    0 - 2 -40.1 -28.7 -8.6
  Nov 27, 2020 314   N.C. A&T L 44-74 17%     0 - 3 -40.4 -32.5 -9.3
  Dec 03, 2020 236   @ Eastern Illinois L 56-78 6%     0 - 4 -24.9 -17.6 -8.1
  Dec 05, 2020 73   @ Northwestern L 66-111 1%     0 - 5 -35.8 -13.5 -15.1
  Dec 09, 2020 29   @ Loyola Chicago L 51-88 0.4%    0 - 6 -22.5 -13.9 -8.6
  Dec 15, 2020 208   @ Illinois St. L 62-91 5%     0 - 7 -30.3 -13.0 -16.5
  Dec 18, 2020 298   @ Northern Illinois L 54-64 10%     0 - 8 -16.6 -13.9 -4.1
  Dec 20, 2020 47   @ Drake L 67-111 1%     0 - 9 -31.3 -5.5 -22.9
Projected Record 0 - 9 0 - 0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 7th
8th 25.2 25.2 8th
9th 74.6 74.6 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16 100.0% 100.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.1%
Lose Out 97.8%