Coppin St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#322
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#264
Pace85.7#2
Improvement+0.7#125

Offense
Total Offense-9.0#334
First Shot-4.2#284
After Offensive Rebound-4.8#343
Layup/Dunks-3.6#291
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#330
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#49
Freethrows-1.2#247
Improvement+1.6#60

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#237
First Shot-1.9#230
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#203
Layups/Dunks+0.9#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#303
Freethrows+1.4#96
Improvement-0.9#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 6.5% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 10.6% 18.7% 5.4%
.500 or above in Conference 66.7% 82.4% 56.5%
Conference Champion 15.7% 28.4% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.0% 6.3% 4.2%
First Round1.5% 1.9% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 39.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 48 - 710 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 53   @ Duke L 71-81 2%     0 - 1 +2.3 -3.3 +6.4
  Dec 05, 2020 207   @ George Washington L 69-85 17%     0 - 2 -17.3 -19.0 +4.7
  Dec 06, 2020 171   @ Drexel L 54-69 13%     0 - 3 -14.0 -21.0 +7.5
  Dec 08, 2020 108   @ Georgetown L 48-80 6%     0 - 4 -25.8 -25.8 +2.9
  Dec 10, 2020 118   UNC Greensboro W 85-80 11%     1 - 4 +6.9 +1.4 +4.7
  Dec 13, 2020 170   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 49-66 21%     1 - 5 -19.6 -26.3 +7.9
  Dec 19, 2020 41   @ Virginia Tech L 57-97 2%     1 - 6 -27.0 -12.7 -11.6
  Dec 23, 2020 187   @ Iona L 65-85 15%     1 - 7 -20.4 -9.5 -10.5
  Dec 26, 2020 219   @ Towson L 73-78 19%     1 - 8 -7.1 -7.8 +1.1
  Jan 04, 2021 344   Delaware St. W 86-78 79%     2 - 8 1 - 0 -12.0 -11.4 -1.8
  Jan 05, 2021 344   Delaware St. W 81-77 79%     3 - 8 2 - 0 -16.0 -19.8 +3.1
  Jan 16, 2021 257   @ Morgan St. L 72-92 25%     3 - 9 2 - 1 -24.2 -7.8 -15.2
  Jan 17, 2021 257   @ Morgan St. W 89-79 25%     4 - 9 3 - 1 +5.8 -3.8 +7.8
  Jan 23, 2021 248   Norfolk St. L 71-75 39%    
  Jan 24, 2021 248   Norfolk St. L 71-75 39%    
  Jan 30, 2021 257   Morgan St. L 76-80 42%    
  Jan 31, 2021 257   Morgan St. L 76-80 41%    
  Feb 06, 2021 248   @ Norfolk St. L 69-77 21%    
  Feb 07, 2021 248   @ Norfolk St. L 69-77 21%    
  Feb 21, 2021 329   @ Howard L 81-82 44%    
  Feb 22, 2021 329   @ Howard L 81-82 44%    
  Feb 27, 2021 344   @ Delaware St. W 85-80 65%    
  Feb 28, 2021 344   @ Delaware St. W 85-80 63%    
  Mar 03, 2021 329   Howard W 83-80 64%    
  Mar 04, 2021 329   Howard W 83-80 64%    
Projected Record 9 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.6 5.7 4.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 15.7 1st
2nd 0.1 2.2 6.3 7.7 3.8 0.3 20.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.5 7.5 8.2 3.4 0.4 22.2 3rd
4th 0.4 4.1 10.4 7.7 2.8 0.3 25.8 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 4.9 2.4 0.2 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.3 0.1 4.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.3 1.9 5.1 10.4 15.6 17.7 17.9 14.0 9.9 4.8 1.8 0.4 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-3 100.0% 1.8    1.7 0.0
12-4 93.3% 4.5    3.4 1.1 0.1
11-5 57.8% 5.7    2.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
10-6 18.5% 2.6    0.6 1.3 0.6 0.1
9-7 3.3% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
Total 15.7% 15.7 8.9 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.1% 20.7% 20.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 17.2% 17.2% 16.0 0.1 0.3
13-3 1.8% 15.9% 15.9% 16.0 0.3 1.5
12-4 4.8% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0 0.7 4.1
11-5 9.9% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 1.0 9.0
10-6 14.0% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.9 13.2
9-7 17.9% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 1.0 16.9
8-8 17.7% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.5 17.2
7-9 15.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 15.3
6-10 10.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 10.2
5-11 5.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.0
4-12 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-13 0.3% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 16.0 5.1 94.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Lose Out 0.1%