Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-19.0#344
Expected Predictive Rating-20.6#341
Pace81.8#9
Improvement+2.9#36

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#329
First Shot-7.8#336
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#166
Layup/Dunks-9.3#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#47
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#146
Freethrows-2.2#299
Improvement+1.5#77

Defense
Total Defense-11.4#347
First Shot-9.6#345
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#290
Layups/Dunks-7.0#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#231
Freethrows-4.6#339
Improvement+1.4#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.7% 0.0% 14.9%
First Four0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Home) - 14.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 42 - 93 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 108   @ Wake Forest L 51-111 2%     0 - 1 -53.9 -27.1 -19.5
  Dec 17, 2020 138   @ Coastal Carolina L 73-99 3%     0 - 2 -22.5 -5.2 -15.1
  Dec 20, 2020 61   @ Georgia Tech L 69-97 1%     0 - 3 -17.2 -4.4 -10.4
  Dec 23, 2020 191   @ UNC Wilmington L 63-87 5%     0 - 4 -24.6 -16.2 -6.4
  Dec 30, 2020 299   Manhattan L 59-65 20%     0 - 5 -16.1 -14.8 -1.2
  Jan 04, 2021 329   @ Coppin St. L 78-86 22%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -18.8 -8.7 -8.8
  Jan 05, 2021 329   @ Coppin St. L 77-81 22%     0 - 7 0 - 2 -14.8 -13.6 -0.4
  Jan 16, 2021 239   Norfolk St. L 76-87 12%     0 - 8 0 - 3 -17.5 +1.6 -19.3
  Jan 17, 2021 239   Norfolk St. L 71-84 14%    
  Jan 30, 2021 239   @ Norfolk St. L 69-85 5%    
  Jan 31, 2021 239   @ Norfolk St. L 69-85 6%    
  Feb 13, 2021 328   Howard L 83-88 37%    
  Feb 14, 2021 328   Howard L 83-88 38%    
  Feb 20, 2021 228   Morgan St. L 74-87 14%    
  Feb 21, 2021 228   Morgan St. L 74-87 14%    
  Feb 27, 2021 329   Coppin St. L 80-85 38%    
  Feb 28, 2021 329   Coppin St. L 80-85 38%    
  Mar 03, 2021 228   @ Morgan St. L 73-89 6%    
  Mar 04, 2021 228   @ Morgan St. L 73-89 6%    
Projected Record 2 - 17 2 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.7 0.7 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 4.1 2.0 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.6 7.4 4.7 0.5 13.2 6th
7th 2.1 12.6 9.4 1.3 0.0 25.4 7th
8th 4.5 15.9 10.9 1.8 0.1 33.1 8th
9th 8.2 6.3 1.1 0.1 15.7 9th
10th 10th
Total 12.7 24.4 25.1 19.8 10.9 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 20.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 16.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0% 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0
8-8 0.1% 0.1
7-9 0.5% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
6-10 1.8% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 1.8
5-11 4.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.5
4-12 10.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.8
3-13 19.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 19.8
2-14 25.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 25.1
1-15 24.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 24.4
0-16 12.7% 12.7
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.5%