Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#230
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#256
Pace71.1#145
Improvement-3.4#325

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#199
First Shot-2.4#234
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#112
Layup/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#219
Freethrows-1.9#293
Improvement-2.0#291

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#273
First Shot-3.1#268
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#197
Layups/Dunks-1.8#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#274
Freethrows-0.1#192
Improvement-1.5#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.8
.500 or above 22.9% 33.3% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 18.9% 28.9% 6.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.4% 3.2%
First Four0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Away) - 55.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 411 - 612 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 11   @ Wisconsin L 67-77 3%     0 - 1 +8.6 +3.5 +5.1
  Nov 27, 2020 57   @ Marquette L 50-75 7%     0 - 2 -13.3 -20.0 +7.3
  Dec 01, 2020 77   @ Dayton L 63-66 10%     0 - 3 +6.1 -1.5 +7.4
  Dec 03, 2020 347   Chicago St. W 78-56 94%     1 - 3 -0.5 +1.7 -1.4
  Dec 05, 2020 256   @ Green Bay W 93-91 2OT 47%     2 - 3 -1.8 +1.2 -3.3
  Dec 09, 2020 241   @ Evansville L 65-68 44%     2 - 4 -6.2 -2.5 -4.1
  Dec 12, 2020 317   Western Illinois W 92-88 77%     3 - 4 -8.4 +2.7 -11.6
  Dec 30, 2020 152   @ Eastern Kentucky L 61-69 24%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -5.4 -14.8 +10.2
  Jan 02, 2021 304   Tennessee Tech W 87-81 73%     4 - 5 1 - 1 -5.0 +4.5 -9.7
  Jan 07, 2021 165   Murray St. W 74-68 41%     5 - 5 2 - 1 +3.7 -1.8 +5.3
  Jan 09, 2021 194   Austin Peay L 71-74 49%     5 - 6 2 - 2 -7.5 -7.4 -0.1
  Jan 14, 2021 190   Morehead St. L 61-87 49%     5 - 7 2 - 3 -30.3 -9.7 -21.2
  Jan 16, 2021 152   Eastern Kentucky L 85-93 OT 36%     5 - 8 2 - 4 -9.1 -5.5 -1.8
  Jan 21, 2021 99   @ Belmont L 66-79 14%     5 - 9 2 - 5 -6.2 -4.0 -2.6
  Jan 23, 2021 303   @ Tennessee St. W 71-68 55%    
  Jan 28, 2021 342   @ Tennessee Martin W 81-72 77%    
  Jan 30, 2021 308   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 73-70 56%    
  Feb 04, 2021 99   Belmont L 74-82 26%    
  Feb 06, 2021 303   Tennessee St. W 72-66 76%    
  Feb 11, 2021 189   @ Jacksonville St. L 70-74 32%    
  Feb 13, 2021 304   @ Tennessee Tech W 74-71 56%    
  Feb 18, 2021 165   @ Murray St. L 69-75 25%    
  Feb 20, 2021 194   @ Austin Peay L 72-76 32%    
  Feb 25, 2021 308   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-68 77%    
  Feb 27, 2021 342   Tennessee Martin W 83-71 89%    
Projected Record 11 - 14 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.6 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 4.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.5 2.8 8.8 5.3 0.8 18.2 6th
7th 0.4 6.3 14.4 9.2 1.3 0.1 31.7 7th
8th 0.4 3.5 8.9 5.7 0.7 19.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.6 5.2 2.7 0.2 9.8 9th
10th 0.4 2.7 2.2 0.1 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.1 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.6 11.4 18.4 23.2 20.6 11.7 5.2 1.8 0.2 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.2% 0.2
12-8 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
11-9 5.2% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 5.1
10-10 11.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 11.3
9-11 20.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 20.3
8-12 23.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 23.1
7-13 18.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 18.4
6-14 11.4% 11.4
5-15 5.6% 5.6
4-16 1.6% 1.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.9 99.0 0.0%