Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#241
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#262
Pace65.5#280
Improvement-0.1#196

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#230
First Shot-4.2#276
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#71
Layup/Dunks-2.5#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#114
Freethrows-2.8#315
Improvement-1.0#251

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#252
First Shot-2.2#238
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#208
Layups/Dunks-2.1#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#324
Freethrows+2.3#44
Improvement+0.8#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 15.4
.500 or above 8.6% 16.2% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 4.4% 8.6% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 23.9% 9.4% 33.5%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Michigan (Away) - 39.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 32 - 43 - 10
Quad 44 - 46 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 43   @ Michigan St. L 67-83 6%     0 - 1 -3.2 -0.6 -2.2
  Dec 04, 2020 75   Toledo L 74-91 15%     0 - 2 0 - 1 -11.0 +0.8 -11.7
  Dec 29, 2020 246   Central Michigan L 60-87 57%     0 - 3 0 - 2 -33.9 -19.4 -14.1
  Jan 09, 2021 146   Akron W 71-59 32%     1 - 3 1 - 2 +11.7 +2.2 +10.2
  Jan 12, 2021 75   @ Toledo L 63-96 10%     1 - 4 1 - 3 -23.8 -3.7 -22.4
  Jan 16, 2021 246   @ Central Michigan L 75-76 40%    
  Jan 19, 2021 268   Western Michigan W 67-64 66%    
  Jan 26, 2021 146   @ Akron L 66-74 20%    
  Jan 30, 2021 293   @ Northern Illinois W 66-64 51%    
  Feb 02, 2021 109   Bowling Green L 68-76 28%    
  Feb 06, 2021 121   @ Ohio L 67-77 16%    
  Feb 09, 2021 205   @ Miami (OH) L 66-69 33%    
  Feb 13, 2021 137   Ball St. L 66-71 37%    
  Feb 16, 2021 92   Buffalo L 71-80 25%    
  Feb 20, 2021 115   @ Kent St. L 67-78 15%    
  Feb 27, 2021 293   Northern Illinois W 67-62 71%    
  Mar 02, 2021 137   @ Ball St. L 65-73 19%    
  Mar 05, 2021 268   @ Western Michigan L 65-66 45%    
Projected Record 6 - 12 6 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.0 0.1 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.5 2.0 0.2 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 5.5 7.2 3.3 0.3 0.0 17.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 5.8 7.7 3.3 0.3 0.0 17.7 9th
10th 0.4 4.6 8.7 2.7 0.3 16.7 10th
11th 0.4 4.0 8.1 3.0 0.3 0.0 15.7 11th
12th 1.2 4.3 5.7 2.0 0.2 13.3 12th
Total 1.2 4.6 10.0 15.3 18.5 16.6 14.1 9.6 5.6 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 18.0% 18.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.3% 8.0% 8.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
11-9 1.2% 8.5% 8.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1
10-10 2.8% 2.9% 2.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
9-11 5.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6
8-12 9.6% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.5
7-13 14.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 14.0
6-14 16.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.6
5-15 18.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.5
4-16 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.3
3-17 10.0% 10.0
2-18 4.6% 4.6
1-19 1.2% 1.2
0-20
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%