Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#136
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#195
Pace79.4#20
Improvement-1.9#270

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#102
First Shot-0.5#188
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#28
Layup/Dunks+0.1#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#101
Freethrows-0.5#207
Improvement+0.8#105

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#181
First Shot+0.9#141
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#273
Layups/Dunks+0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#343
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#107
Freethrows+3.9#9
Improvement-2.7#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.6% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 74.1% 80.9% 46.5%
.500 or above in Conference 74.1% 80.9% 46.5%
Conference Champion 7.2% 8.6% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round2.1% 2.6% 0.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Home) - 80.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 22 - 6
Quad 49 - 310 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 130   @ Washington St. L 68-71 42%     0 - 1 +1.3 -3.2 +4.7
  Dec 05, 2020 29   @ Arizona L 67-70 13%     0 - 2 +11.3 -5.5 +17.0
  Dec 07, 2020 19   @ Oregon L 52-69 10%     0 - 3 -0.7 -15.2 +15.0
  Dec 15, 2020 82   @ St. Mary's L 75-80 26%     0 - 4 +3.8 +10.3 -6.7
  Dec 19, 2020 301   @ Northern Arizona W 80-64 81%     1 - 4 1 - 0 +9.0 +4.3 +5.3
  Jan 14, 2021 191   Southern Utah W 75-63 73%     2 - 4 2 - 0 +7.8 -8.6 +15.5
  Jan 16, 2021 191   Southern Utah L 94-99 73%     2 - 5 2 - 1 -9.2 +5.8 -14.4
  Jan 21, 2021 201   @ Northern Colorado L 76-78 62%     2 - 6 2 - 2 -3.1 +3.6 -6.7
  Jan 23, 2021 201   @ Northern Colorado W 82-76 62%     3 - 6 3 - 2 +4.9 +3.9 +0.7
  Jan 28, 2021 214   Sacramento St. W 76-68 80%    
  Jan 30, 2021 214   Sacramento St. W 76-68 80%    
  Feb 04, 2021 338   @ Idaho W 85-71 89%    
  Feb 06, 2021 338   Idaho W 87-69 96%    
  Feb 11, 2021 182   @ Montana St. W 75-73 52%    
  Feb 13, 2021 182   @ Montana St. W 75-73 53%    
  Feb 18, 2021 163   Montana W 75-71 69%    
  Feb 20, 2021 163   @ Montana W 73-72 48%    
  Mar 03, 2021 277   Idaho St. W 78-67 88%    
  Mar 05, 2021 277   Idaho St. W 78-67 87%    
Projected Record 10 - 9 10 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 3.1 4.0 7.2 1st
2nd 0.1 4.0 8.5 2.5 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.8 11.6 6.1 0.4 20.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 8.3 8.8 0.8 18.6 4th
5th 0.2 3.9 9.6 1.7 0.0 15.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 6.4 2.7 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.1 0.2 7.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.0 7.3 14.7 22.6 26.2 18.4 6.9 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 58.1% 4.0    1.8 1.5 0.7 0.1
12-8 16.7% 3.1    0.3 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
11-9 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.2% 7.2 2.1 2.5 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 6.9% 25.9% 25.5% 0.4% 13.9 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.1 0.5%
12-8 18.4% 1.9% 1.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 18.0
11-9 26.2% 26.2
10-10 22.6% 22.6
9-11 14.7% 14.7
8-12 7.3% 7.3
7-13 3.0% 3.0
6-14 0.8% 0.8
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 14.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 6.9% 25.9% 13.9 0.8 6.1 14.8 4.1 0.1