Hawaii
Big West
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#186
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#229
Pace73.8#76
Improvement-0.6#210

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#161
First Shot-2.4#239
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#41
Layup/Dunks-2.4#259
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#184
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement-1.0#241

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#242
First Shot-3.4#283
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#109
Layups/Dunks-5.0#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#16
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#88
Freethrows-3.6#328
Improvement+0.4#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 9.0% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.1 15.0
.500 or above 38.8% 51.9% 22.2%
.500 or above in Conference 45.5% 59.8% 27.3%
Conference Champion 3.0% 4.7% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 1.0% 5.6%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.3%
First Round6.6% 8.6% 4.1%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Away) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 2
Quad 33 - 54 - 7
Quad 44 - 28 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 08, 2021 126   @ UC Riverside W 88-83 26%     1 - 0 1 - 0 +9.5 +10.6 -1.6
  Jan 09, 2021 126   @ UC Riverside L 68-70 26%     1 - 1 1 - 1 +2.5 +5.0 -2.6
  Jan 15, 2021 149   Cal St. Bakersfield L 55-60 45%     1 - 2 -5.9 -16.4 +10.5
  Jan 16, 2021 149   Cal St. Bakersfield L 72-83 45%     1 - 3 -11.9 +2.2 -14.4
  Jan 22, 2021 271   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 76-73 56%    
  Jan 23, 2021 271   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 76-73 56%    
  Jan 30, 2021 116   UC Irvine L 71-75 39%    
  Jan 31, 2021 116   UC Irvine L 71-75 40%    
  Feb 05, 2021 295   @ UC San Diego W 70-66 61%    
  Feb 06, 2021 295   @ UC San Diego W 70-66 61%    
  Feb 13, 2021 123   UC Santa Barbara L 71-75 41%    
  Feb 19, 2021 264   @ Cal St. Northridge W 81-79 54%    
  Feb 20, 2021 264   @ Cal St. Northridge W 81-79 54%    
  Feb 27, 2021 270   Long Beach St. W 84-78 75%    
  Mar 05, 2021 202   @ UC Davis L 79-80 42%    
  Mar 06, 2021 202   @ UC Davis L 79-80 42%    
Projected Record 7 - 9 7 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.5 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.7 0.8 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.6 4.9 1.4 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.7 8.7 6.1 1.4 0.1 21.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.6 7.9 4.4 0.8 0.0 18.2 5th
6th 0.2 3.1 6.4 2.8 0.3 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 5.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 10th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.8 7.3 11.4 14.3 16.0 15.8 13.1 8.9 5.1 2.1 0.5 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 93.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
12-4 59.8% 1.2    0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-5 19.9% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
Total 3.0% 3.0 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.5% 33.9% 31.4% 2.5% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.6%
12-4 2.1% 29.5% 29.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.4
11-5 5.1% 20.0% 20.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 4.1
10-6 8.9% 15.0% 15.0% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 7.6
9-7 13.1% 10.6% 10.6% 14.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 11.7
8-8 15.8% 7.1% 7.1% 15.1 0.1 0.8 0.2 14.7
7-9 16.0% 4.5% 4.5% 15.7 0.2 0.5 15.3
6-10 14.3% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.9
5-11 11.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 11.2
4-12 7.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.2
3-13 3.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.8
2-14 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 1.7 2.1 1.6 92.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 9.6 2.6 11.8 7.9 5.3 21.1 11.8 15.8 13.2 10.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 7.5% 12.3 5.7 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 2.4% 12.0 2.4
Lose Out 0.3%