High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#306
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#300
Pace66.4#262
Improvement-5.5#344

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#302
First Shot-2.2#229
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#308
Layup/Dunks-4.5#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#265
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement-4.8#347

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#288
First Shot-2.1#235
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#304
Layups/Dunks-0.3#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#58
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#275
Freethrows-1.1#247
Improvement-0.7#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.1% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 9.4% 11.3% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 1.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 4.2% 17.4%
First Four1.0% 1.1% 0.8%
First Round0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 78.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 41 - 6
Quad 48 - 89 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 66   @ Davidson L 73-82 5%     0 - 1 +1.2 +4.4 -3.4
  Nov 28, 2020 247   @ Elon L 75-76 29%     0 - 2 -4.4 -0.9 -3.6
  Dec 05, 2020 261   North Florida W 85-74 45%     1 - 2 +3.2 +1.9 +0.9
  Dec 12, 2020 235   @ UNC Asheville L 67-80 27%     1 - 3 0 - 1 -15.9 -12.7 -2.6
  Dec 13, 2020 235   @ UNC Asheville L 84-90 OT 27%     1 - 4 0 - 2 -8.9 -2.3 -6.0
  Dec 19, 2020 263   @ William & Mary W 71-49 32%     2 - 4 +17.8 -1.5 +20.1
  Dec 22, 2020 152   @ Eastern Kentucky L 67-86 14%     2 - 5 -16.4 -12.2 -1.5
  Dec 30, 2020 316   South Carolina Upstate W 63-52 62%     3 - 5 1 - 2 -1.3 -5.1 +5.7
  Dec 31, 2020 316   South Carolina Upstate L 51-60 62%     3 - 6 1 - 3 -21.3 -25.6 +3.7
  Jan 19, 2021 281   @ Longwood L 54-75 37%     3 - 7 1 - 4 -26.6 -14.2 -15.1
  Jan 20, 2021 281   @ Longwood L 54-67 37%     3 - 8 1 - 5 -18.6 -8.2 -13.5
  Jan 24, 2021 339   Presbyterian W 68-61 78%    
  Jan 25, 2021 339   Presbyterian W 68-61 77%    
  Jan 29, 2021 310   @ Hampton L 71-72 40%    
  Jan 30, 2021 310   @ Hampton L 71-72 40%    
  Feb 04, 2021 335   Charleston Southern W 69-63 76%    
  Feb 05, 2021 335   Charleston Southern W 69-63 76%    
  Feb 11, 2021 198   @ Gardner-Webb L 66-74 19%    
  Feb 12, 2021 198   @ Gardner-Webb L 66-74 19%    
  Feb 18, 2021 222   Radford L 62-65 42%    
  Feb 19, 2021 222   Radford L 62-65 43%    
Projected Record 8 - 13 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 1.7 3.3 0.9 0.0 5.9 4th
5th 1.5 5.9 1.6 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 5.2 4.8 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.2 5.1 8.5 1.1 14.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 8.9 13.9 5.2 0.0 29.2 8th
9th 0.5 5.0 8.7 2.3 0.0 16.5 9th
10th 0.2 3.1 4.9 2.0 10.1 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.2 2.5 11th
Total 0.2 1.2 4.7 11.3 19.7 21.9 20.4 13.5 5.6 1.3 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.2% 19.6% 19.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2
10-10 1.3% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.2
9-11 5.6% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.3 5.3
8-12 13.5% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 13.2
7-13 20.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 20.2
6-14 21.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 21.8
5-15 19.7% 19.7
4-16 11.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.3
3-17 4.7% 4.7
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%