Houston Baptist
Southland
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.8#330
Expected Predictive Rating-15.3#330
Pace79.6#18
Improvement+2.9#38

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#257
First Shot+0.0#181
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#317
Layup/Dunks-2.7#268
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#47
Freethrows-1.7#283
Improvement+1.6#65

Defense
Total Defense-9.6#342
First Shot-7.2#335
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#313
Layups/Dunks-6.5#336
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#136
Freethrows-1.0#237
Improvement+1.3#92
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 9.8% 13.1% 2.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 21.1% 10.9% 42.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 67.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 45 - 85 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 102   @ TCU L 45-69 5%     0 - 1 -17.4 -20.5 +1.0
  Nov 29, 2020 78   @ Arizona St. L 77-100 3%     0 - 2 -14.0 -2.5 -8.4
  Dec 02, 2020 61   @ SMU L 75-102 2%     0 - 3 -15.6 -3.4 -8.7
  Dec 05, 2020 187   Rice L 64-86 20%     0 - 4 -25.9 -14.9 -9.8
  Dec 15, 2020 187   @ Rice L 79-90 12%     0 - 5 -11.2 -2.9 -7.2
  Dec 17, 2020 91   @ North Texas L 55-85 4%     0 - 6 -22.1 -12.7 -9.3
  Dec 19, 2020 21   @ Oklahoma L 65-84 1%     0 - 7 -3.4 -3.2 +0.5
  Jan 02, 2021 319   Northwestern St. W 99-93 OT 51%     1 - 7 1 - 0 -6.9 +0.0 -8.0
  Jan 06, 2021 125   Abilene Christian L 63-66 11%     1 - 8 1 - 1 -2.1 -4.7 +2.6
  Jan 09, 2021 309   @ Lamar L 65-71 31%     1 - 9 1 - 2 -13.6 -9.4 -4.1
  Jan 16, 2021 178   @ Sam Houston St. L 80-87 11%     1 - 10 1 - 3 -6.4 +2.4 -8.3
  Jan 20, 2021 191   Nicholls St. L 83-92 21%     1 - 11 1 - 4 -13.3 -6.1 -5.7
  Jan 23, 2021 340   McNeese St. W 87-83 67%    
  Jan 27, 2021 324   @ Incarnate Word L 76-78 37%    
  Jan 30, 2021 320   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-78 34%    
  Feb 06, 2021 319   @ Northwestern St. L 82-86 32%    
  Feb 10, 2021 125   @ Abilene Christian L 65-82 4%    
  Feb 13, 2021 309   Lamar L 77-79 49%    
  Feb 20, 2021 178   Sam Houston St. L 77-87 21%    
  Feb 24, 2021 191   @ Nicholls St. L 75-87 11%    
  Feb 27, 2021 340   @ McNeese St. W 85-84 46%    
  Mar 03, 2021 324   Incarnate Word W 78-77 58%    
  Mar 06, 2021 320   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 77-76 55%    
Projected Record 5 - 18 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 1.3 0.2 3.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 3.2 0.6 0.1 6.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 5.2 1.6 0.2 9.6 7th
8th 1.0 7.1 3.5 0.5 12.2 8th
9th 0.3 5.8 7.2 0.6 13.8 9th
10th 0.1 2.6 9.6 2.5 14.9 10th
11th 0.0 1.4 8.3 4.7 0.1 14.5 11th
12th 1.0 6.7 5.2 0.6 13.4 12th
13th 1.1 3.7 5.3 0.8 11.0 13th
Total 1.1 4.6 13.6 17.1 21.7 19.6 12.5 6.8 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.2% 0.2
10-6 0.5% 0.5
9-7 2.3% 2.3
8-8 6.8% 6.8
7-9 12.5% 12.5
6-10 19.6% 19.6
5-11 21.7% 21.7
4-12 17.1% 17.1
3-13 13.6% 13.6
2-14 4.6% 4.6
1-15 1.1% 1.1
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%