Iowa St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#111
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#282
Pace72.2#118
Improvement+1.1#101

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#94
First Shot+4.0#73
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#229
Layup/Dunks+2.9#72
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#183
Freethrows-4.3#341
Improvement+1.6#64

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#138
First Shot+0.4#168
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#121
Layups/Dunks-1.2#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#20
Freethrows-2.5#308
Improvement-0.5#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.4 14.5
.500 or above 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 58.3% 36.6% 68.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma St. (Home) - 32.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 10
Quad 21 - 22 - 12
Quad 31 - 13 - 13
Quad 42 - 15 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 29, 2020 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-63 97%     1 - 0 -1.7 -1.4 -0.2
  Dec 02, 2020 102   South Dakota St. L 68-71 55%     1 - 1 -0.1 -8.8 +8.9
  Dec 11, 2020 3   @ Iowa L 77-105 8%     1 - 2 -7.7 +6.0 -12.8
  Dec 15, 2020 150   Kansas St. L 65-74 69%     1 - 3 0 - 1 -9.9 -8.6 -1.2
  Dec 18, 2020 17   @ West Virginia L 65-70 13%     1 - 4 0 - 2 +11.7 -0.3 +12.0
  Dec 20, 2020 311   Jackson St. W 60-45 92%     2 - 4 +3.5 -11.4 +15.7
  Jan 02, 2021 2   Baylor L 65-76 7%     2 - 5 0 - 3 +9.9 -3.0 +13.7
  Jan 05, 2021 10   @ Texas L 72-78 10%     2 - 6 0 - 4 +12.5 +8.4 +4.2
  Jan 09, 2021 16   Texas Tech L 64-91 19%     2 - 7 0 - 5 -13.4 +0.0 -13.8
  Jan 25, 2021 33   Oklahoma St. L 72-78 32%    
  Jan 30, 2021 78   @ Mississippi St. L 68-73 29%    
  Feb 02, 2021 17   West Virginia L 70-79 24%    
  Feb 06, 2021 21   @ Oklahoma L 69-80 12%    
  Feb 09, 2021 100   @ TCU L 70-72 37%    
  Feb 13, 2021 15   Kansas L 68-77 22%    
  Feb 16, 2021 33   @ Oklahoma St. L 70-80 16%    
  Feb 20, 2021 21   Oklahoma L 70-78 28%    
  Feb 23, 2021 2   @ Baylor L 64-84 2%    
  Feb 27, 2021 100   TCU W 71-70 59%    
Projected Record 5 - 14 2 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.2 3.8 7.3 3.8 0.6 0.0 15.8 8th
9th 6.9 18.2 15.9 4.9 0.5 0.0 46.5 9th
10th 8.8 15.3 8.9 1.9 0.1 35.0 10th
Total 8.8 22.2 27.3 21.7 12.5 5.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-10 0.0% 30.4% 30.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.4%
7-11 0.3% 5.0% 2.5% 2.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.6%
6-12 1.8% 1.1% 1.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
5-13 5.3% 0.3% 0.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 12.5
3-15 21.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.7
2-16 27.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 27.3
1-17 22.2% 22.2
0-18 8.8% 8.8
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.9%