Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#152
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#166
Pace64.0#309
Improvement-1.8#263

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#184
First Shot-0.9#201
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#152
Layup/Dunks+2.7#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#273
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#127
Freethrows-2.9#324
Improvement-4.7#346

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#146
First Shot+0.9#147
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks+2.7#85
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#292
Freethrows-0.1#189
Improvement+2.9#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 55.4% 23.3% 55.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 100 - 10
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 14
Quad 20 - 31 - 16
Quad 31 - 32 - 19
Quad 44 - 07 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 45   Drake L 70-80 20%     0 - 1 -0.6 +7.6 -9.0
  Nov 27, 2020 20   Colorado L 58-76 13%     0 - 2 -5.3 -5.8 -0.7
  Nov 30, 2020 214   UMKC W 62-58 72%     1 - 2 -1.4 -2.4 +1.5
  Dec 05, 2020 110   UNLV L 58-68 41%     1 - 3 -7.2 -6.9 -1.5
  Dec 11, 2020 218   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-75 72%     2 - 3 -4.7 +6.1 -10.7
  Dec 15, 2020 125   @ Iowa St. W 74-65 34%     3 - 3 1 - 0 +13.8 +2.8 +11.0
  Dec 19, 2020 2   Baylor L 69-100 4%     3 - 4 1 - 1 -9.4 +7.5 -17.7
  Dec 21, 2020 297   Jacksonville W 70-46 85%     4 - 4 +13.6 -1.2 +16.8
  Dec 29, 2020 261   Nebraska Omaha W 60-58 79%     5 - 4 -6.0 -13.0 +7.1
  Jan 02, 2021 100   TCU L 60-67 39%     5 - 5 1 - 2 -3.7 -5.0 +0.6
  Jan 05, 2021 14   @ Texas Tech L 71-82 7%     5 - 6 1 - 3 +6.2 +10.4 -4.8
  Jan 09, 2021 32   Oklahoma St. L 54-70 17%     5 - 7 1 - 4 -5.2 -7.8 +1.1
  Jan 16, 2021 10   @ Texas L 67-82 6%     5 - 8 1 - 5 +3.1 +3.3 -0.3
  Jan 19, 2021 18   @ Oklahoma L 50-76 8%     5 - 9 1 - 6 -9.6 -15.4 +5.7
  Jan 23, 2021 17   West Virginia L 47-69 11%     5 - 10 1 - 7 -8.4 -18.4 +9.3
  Jan 27, 2021 2   @ Baylor L 56-80 1%    
  Jan 30, 2021 130   Texas A&M L 60-61 53%    
  Feb 02, 2021 16   @ Kansas L 59-75 5%    
  Feb 06, 2021 14   Texas Tech L 59-72 13%    
  Feb 09, 2021 10   Texas L 61-75 11%    
  Feb 13, 2021 32   @ Oklahoma St. L 61-75 8%    
  Feb 16, 2021 16   Kansas L 60-73 14%    
  Feb 20, 2021 100   @ TCU L 62-68 25%    
  Feb 23, 2021 18   Oklahoma L 62-75 15%    
  Feb 27, 2021 17   @ West Virginia L 61-77 5%    
Projected Record 6 - 19 2 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.4 2.9 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 18.6 28.1 14.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 63.8 9th
10th 19.5 8.3 0.9 0.0 28.7 10th
Total 38.0 36.7 17.7 5.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

With games being cancelled frequently this season, the conference records below may not be accurate. The number of wins in the table below are based on games that are currently scheduled and appear in the schedule above.
Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 1.5% 1.5
4-14 5.8% 5.8
3-15 17.7% 17.7
2-16 36.7% 36.7
1-17 38.0% 38.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 17.2%