Kennesaw St.
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.8#341
Expected Predictive Rating-22.0#343
Pace69.0#210
Improvement-1.3#250

Offense
Total Offense-11.3#343
First Shot-11.6#347
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#162
Layup/Dunks-4.8#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#314
Freethrows-1.9#291
Improvement-0.5#217

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#273
First Shot-2.7#260
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#227
Layups/Dunks-6.3#326
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#17
Freethrows-1.9#282
Improvement-0.8#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 21.0% 0.0% 27.6%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Home) - 24.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 42 - 102 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 96   @ UAB L 48-73 3%     0 - 1 -18.1 -19.2 +0.7
  Dec 04, 2020 11   @ Creighton L 58-93 1%     0 - 2 -16.8 -8.6 -7.5
  Dec 16, 2020 98   @ Belmont L 53-64 3%     0 - 3 -4.2 -19.4 +15.4
  Dec 19, 2020 267   Samford L 63-65 26%     0 - 4 -10.2 -18.5 +8.4
  Dec 22, 2020 152   Mercer L 71-81 11%     0 - 5 -11.3 -7.1 -3.9
  Jan 01, 2021 291   Jacksonville L 57-62 31%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -14.6 -17.3 +2.6
  Jan 02, 2021 291   Jacksonville L 66-72 31%     0 - 7 0 - 2 -15.6 -7.4 -8.4
  Jan 08, 2021 121   @ Liberty L 63-69 4%     0 - 8 0 - 3 -0.7 -3.0 +1.8
  Jan 09, 2021 121   @ Liberty L 47-76 4%     0 - 9 0 - 4 -23.7 -13.4 -16.2
  Jan 15, 2021 273   North Alabama L 43-66 28%     0 - 10 0 - 5 -31.7 -29.2 -3.6
  Jan 16, 2021 273   North Alabama L 64-66 28%     0 - 11 0 - 6 -10.7 -16.9 +6.4
  Jan 29, 2021 229   Bellarmine L 58-67 24%    
  Jan 30, 2021 229   Bellarmine L 58-67 25%    
  Feb 04, 2021 208   @ Lipscomb L 60-73 9%    
  Feb 06, 2021 208   @ Lipscomb L 60-73 9%    
  Feb 12, 2021 275   Florida Gulf Coast L 62-68 33%    
  Feb 13, 2021 275   Florida Gulf Coast L 62-68 33%    
  Feb 19, 2021 240   @ Stetson L 60-72 12%    
  Feb 20, 2021 240   @ Stetson L 60-72 12%    
Projected Record 2 - 17 2 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.3 1.2 0.7 0.0 2.3 7th
8th 0.4 3.9 6.1 3.2 0.3 14.0 8th
9th 21.0 31.6 22.1 7.5 0.9 0.0 83.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 21.0 32.0 26.0 13.9 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0% 0.0
7-9 0.1% 0.1
6-10 0.3% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3
5-11 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-12 5.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-13 13.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.9
2-14 26.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 26.0
1-15 32.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 32.0
0-16 21.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 20.9
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 19.5%