Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#94
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#91
Pace72.9#94
Improvement-1.0#222

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#70
First Shot+1.1#144
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#21
Layup/Dunks+2.9#69
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#302
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#107
Freethrows-0.9#237
Improvement+0.4#139

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#145
First Shot+1.2#135
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#182
Layups/Dunks+1.2#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#104
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#166
Freethrows-1.3#257
Improvement-1.3#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.3% 21.2% 14.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.6% 2.1% 0.3%
Average Seed 12.3 12.1 13.0
.500 or above 97.7% 99.2% 94.1%
.500 or above in Conference 91.5% 95.8% 80.4%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% 1.2% 0.3%
First Round18.7% 20.5% 14.2%
Second Round4.2% 4.8% 2.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.2% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Home) - 71.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 32 - 5
Quad 35 - 27 - 7
Quad 48 - 115 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 04, 2020 6   @ Virginia L 64-71 OT 10%     0 - 1 +12.5 +3.9 +8.2
  Dec 09, 2020 205   @ Detroit Mercy W 80-66 75%     1 - 1 +12.6 -1.6 +13.4
  Dec 13, 2020 215   Northern Kentucky W 92-73 85%     2 - 1 +13.5 +9.2 +2.9
  Jan 01, 2021 113   @ Akron L 62-66 49%     2 - 2 0 - 1 +1.8 -9.7 +11.6
  Jan 05, 2021 75   Toledo L 82-84 49%     2 - 3 0 - 2 +3.9 +9.9 -6.1
  Jan 09, 2021 279   Western Michigan W 80-54 91%     3 - 3 1 - 2 +17.1 +3.7 +13.4
  Jan 12, 2021 244   @ Central Michigan W 94-85 81%     4 - 3 2 - 2 +5.3 +5.7 -1.6
  Jan 16, 2021 117   @ Ohio W 89-79 52%     5 - 3 3 - 2 +15.2 +14.1 +1.0
  Jan 19, 2021 105   Buffalo W 84-81 60%     6 - 3 4 - 2 +6.0 +3.3 +2.4
  Jan 23, 2021 75   @ Toledo L 74-76 36%     6 - 4 4 - 3 +7.2 +2.3 +4.9
  Jan 27, 2021 136   Bowling Green W 80-75 72%    
  Jan 30, 2021 244   Central Michigan W 88-75 91%    
  Feb 02, 2021 168   Miami (OH) W 79-71 81%    
  Feb 06, 2021 113   @ Akron L 75-76 45%    
  Feb 09, 2021 136   @ Bowling Green W 78-76 51%    
  Feb 13, 2021 295   Northern Illinois W 77-61 94%    
  Feb 16, 2021 279   @ Western Michigan W 77-66 82%    
  Feb 20, 2021 272   Eastern Michigan W 79-65 92%    
  Feb 27, 2021 168   @ Miami (OH) W 78-73 62%    
  Mar 02, 2021 117   Ohio W 80-76 68%    
  Mar 05, 2021 105   @ Buffalo L 81-82 43%    
Projected Record 14 - 7 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 1.5 1st
2nd 0.4 5.5 12.8 10.0 2.6 31.3 2nd
3rd 0.3 5.0 13.5 7.1 1.1 0.0 26.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.5 9.7 4.6 0.2 17.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 5.8 4.6 0.3 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.3 0.3 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 5.7 12.3 19.9 23.9 20.3 11.8 3.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 18.7% 0.6    0.2 0.4 0.0
14-6 6.1% 0.7    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

With games being cancelled frequently this season, the conference records below may not be accurate. The number of wins in the table below are based on games that are currently scheduled and appear in the schedule above.
Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 3.2% 55.2% 36.5% 18.7% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 29.4%
14-6 11.8% 34.6% 29.9% 4.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.0 0.9 0.0 7.7 6.7%
13-7 20.3% 24.6% 24.0% 0.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.2 0.3 15.3 0.7%
12-8 23.9% 18.0% 17.9% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 1.0 2.5 0.7 0.0 19.6 0.1%
11-9 19.9% 12.5% 12.5% 13.3 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.8 0.1 17.4
10-10 12.3% 9.1% 9.1% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 11.2
9-11 5.7% 6.6% 6.6% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.4
8-12 2.1% 4.8% 4.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.0
7-13 0.6% 3.3% 3.3% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.6
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 19.3% 18.0% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.4 5.6 7.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 80.7 1.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 7.2 0.8 2.3 12.8 29.3 16.6 12.7 13.4 7.3 2.9 1.5 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7% 37.6% 11.3 0.8 1.8 4.1 12.5 14.0 4.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8% 28.2% 11.2 0.3 1.9 4.3 9.6 10.0 2.1