La Salle
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#166
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#150
Pace70.8#153
Improvement+1.0#118

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#192
First Shot+1.5#135
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#302
Layup/Dunks+0.5#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#50
Freethrows-2.7#316
Improvement+2.9#31

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#159
First Shot+1.4#129
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#246
Layups/Dunks-0.4#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#78
Freethrows-1.2#253
Improvement-1.9#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.0 14.8
.500 or above 6.4% 14.7% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.7% 34.1% 9.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Home) - 29.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 22 - 53 - 9
Quad 32 - 55 - 14
Quad 45 - 110 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 79   @ St. John's L 65-82 18%     0 - 1 -8.2 -14.0 +8.3
  Nov 27, 2020 170   St. Peter's L 51-62 50%     0 - 2 -11.8 -11.3 -1.8
  Dec 06, 2020 183   @ Army L 59-63 47%     0 - 3 -3.8 -6.9 +2.8
  Dec 12, 2020 162   @ Drexel W 58-48 42%     1 - 3 +11.5 -10.5 +22.8
  Dec 16, 2020 111   Massachusetts L 66-85 37%     1 - 4 0 - 1 -16.3 -7.2 -8.9
  Dec 19, 2020 216   Delaware W 71-61 68%     2 - 4 +4.5 -4.6 +9.0
  Dec 22, 2020 43   @ Maryland L 71-84 11%     2 - 5 -0.2 +6.4 -7.1
  Dec 30, 2020 80   @ Dayton W 67-65 19%     3 - 5 1 - 1 +10.8 +5.5 +5.5
  Jan 02, 2021 266   Fordham W 89-52 76%     4 - 5 2 - 1 +28.8 +18.9 +10.0
  Jan 09, 2021 111   @ Massachusetts L 67-83 26%     4 - 6 2 - 2 -9.9 -8.0 -1.0
  Jan 13, 2021 144   @ George Mason L 42-75 37%     4 - 7 2 - 3 -30.2 -30.4 +2.7
  Jan 16, 2021 64   Davidson L 53-77 23%     4 - 8 2 - 4 -16.9 -11.1 -9.4
  Jan 18, 2021 213   Saint Joseph's W 90-83 68%     5 - 8 3 - 4 +1.7 +4.8 -3.8
  Jan 23, 2021 59   @ Richmond W 84-78 13%     6 - 8 4 - 4 +17.7 +13.6 +4.0
  Jan 27, 2021 71   Rhode Island L 68-75 30%    
  Jan 30, 2021 66   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-75 12%    
  Feb 06, 2021 213   @ Saint Joseph's W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 13, 2021 201   George Washington W 76-72 69%    
  Feb 16, 2021 48   @ Saint Louis L 66-79 9%    
  Feb 20, 2021 59   Richmond L 69-78 23%    
  Feb 24, 2021 60   @ St. Bonaventure L 61-73 11%    
  Feb 27, 2021 126   Duquesne L 67-69 48%    
  Mar 03, 2021 266   @ Fordham W 61-57 60%    
Projected Record 9 - 14 7 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 1.5 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.9 0.5 6.5 5th
6th 0.3 5.9 3.4 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 3.4 9.7 0.7 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 11.0 4.4 0.0 16.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 6.8 9.8 0.6 17.7 9th
10th 0.0 3.1 9.3 2.8 0.0 15.2 10th
11th 0.8 5.9 3.8 0.2 10.7 11th
12th 1.1 1.0 0.1 2.2 12th
13th 0.3 0.0 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 2.2 10.5 21.5 27.4 21.7 11.6 4.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 90.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 57.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 12.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

With games being cancelled frequently this season, the conference records below may not be accurate. The number of wins in the table below are based on games that are currently scheduled and appear in the schedule above.
Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 4.8% 4.8% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.9% 2.7% 2.7% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
10-8 4.0% 1.8% 1.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
9-9 11.6% 0.7% 0.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
8-10 21.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.6
7-11 27.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 27.4
6-12 21.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.5
5-13 10.5% 10.5
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%