Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#249
Expected Predictive Rating-15.4#332
Pace72.4#111
Improvement+0.0#175

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#162
First Shot-4.1#277
After Offensive Rebound+4.3#13
Layup/Dunks+1.0#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#324
Freethrows+0.5#145
Improvement-0.5#205

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#312
First Shot-8.8#342
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#18
Layups/Dunks+3.8#60
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-17.9#348
Freethrows+3.2#19
Improvement+0.5#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 4.7% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 33.2% 56.8% 20.1%
.500 or above in Conference 11.7% 26.0% 3.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.9% 8.8% 35.5%
First Four0.9% 1.1% 0.8%
First Round2.7% 4.1% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: American (Away) - 35.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 42 - 6
Quad 44 - 36 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 16, 2021 180   @ Lafayette L 75-77 29%     0 - 1 0 - 1 -1.7 +3.5 -5.3
  Jan 17, 2021 180   Lafayette L 70-72 41%     0 - 2 0 - 2 -5.3 -2.9 -2.5
  Jan 23, 2021 233   @ American L 75-78 36%    
  Jan 24, 2021 233   American W 77-76 57%    
  Jan 30, 2021 172   @ Navy L 69-76 24%    
  Jan 31, 2021 172   Navy L 71-74 44%    
  Feb 06, 2021 260   Bucknell W 77-75 62%    
  Feb 08, 2021 260   @ Bucknell L 75-76 41%    
  Feb 13, 2021 310   @ Lehigh W 77-75 55%    
  Feb 14, 2021 310   Lehigh W 79-73 74%    
  Feb 20, 2021 233   @ American L 75-78 38%    
  Feb 21, 2021 233   American W 77-76 57%    
Projected Record 5 - 7 5 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.4 2.2 0.5 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.6 8.2 4.6 1.0 0.0 20.4 5th
6th 0.3 5.4 7.1 2.8 0.3 0.0 15.8 6th
7th 0.1 4.4 7.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 14.8 7th
8th 0.2 2.7 8.4 2.3 0.1 13.7 8th
9th 0.2 2.4 7.2 3.3 0.2 13.2 9th
10th 1.2 4.0 6.3 3.3 0.2 0.0 15.0 10th
Total 1.2 4.1 8.9 13.3 16.6 16.6 15.2 12.5 7.4 3.5 0.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.8% 14.8% 14.8% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
9-7 3.5% 12.8% 12.8% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.0
8-8 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 6.8
7-9 12.5% 6.1% 6.1% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 11.7
6-10 15.2% 3.1% 3.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 14.7
5-11 16.6% 2.1% 2.1% 15.8 0.1 0.3 16.2
4-12 16.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 16.5
3-13 13.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.2
2-14 8.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.9
1-15 4.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.1
0-16 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.8 23.6 69.1 7.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.8%