Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#128
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#127
Pace67.3#243
Improvement-1.9#269

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#188
First Shot-4.5#292
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#16
Layup/Dunks+3.0#64
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#270
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement-2.0#293

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#79
First Shot+1.5#127
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#39
Layups/Dunks+2.3#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#285
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#150
Freethrows-0.1#185
Improvement+0.0#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 13.2
.500 or above 63.5% 77.9% 42.5%
.500 or above in Conference 35.6% 48.9% 16.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 59.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 22 - 32 - 8
Quad 33 - 36 - 11
Quad 47 - 113 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 193   Southern Utah W 85-83 74%     1 - 0 -2.0 +2.8 -4.9
  Nov 28, 2020 31   @ Minnesota L 73-88 15%     1 - 1 -0.8 -1.9 +3.0
  Nov 30, 2020 31   @ Minnesota L 64-67 15%     1 - 2 +11.2 +1.1 +9.9
  Dec 04, 2020 293   Long Beach St. W 85-61 88%     2 - 2 +14.0 -2.3 +14.2
  Dec 07, 2020 90   @ UC Santa Barbara L 58-69 32%     2 - 3 -3.4 -7.5 +3.2
  Dec 12, 2020 90   UC Santa Barbara W 81-76 45%     3 - 3 +9.2 +8.7 +0.5
  Dec 17, 2020 107   UC Irvine W 51-48 50%     4 - 3 +5.9 -15.6 +21.7
  Dec 19, 2020 332   Cal Poly W 76-52 94%     5 - 3 +9.0 +0.8 +9.4
  Jan 10, 2021 84   San Francisco W 68-60 41%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +13.1 -5.3 +18.0
  Jan 16, 2021 140   @ Pacific L 49-58 48%     6 - 4 1 - 1 -5.7 -20.8 +15.2
  Jan 19, 2021 196   San Diego W 72-69 OT 75%     7 - 4 2 - 1 -1.3 -3.9 +2.4
  Jan 21, 2021 76   St. Mary's L 61-65 39%     7 - 5 2 - 2 +1.8 -8.1 +9.9
  Jan 23, 2021 159   Santa Clara L 69-72 66%     7 - 6 2 - 3 -4.4 +0.8 -5.3
  Jan 25, 2021 303   @ Portland W 75-50 83%     8 - 6 3 - 3 +17.6 +13.9 +8.9
  Jan 30, 2021 196   @ San Diego W 69-65 59%    
  Feb 04, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 65-89 1%    
  Feb 06, 2021 76   @ St. Mary's L 58-64 24%    
  Feb 11, 2021 133   Pepperdine W 71-69 62%    
  Feb 13, 2021 140   Pacific W 65-62 65%    
  Feb 18, 2021 84   @ San Francisco L 64-70 27%    
  Feb 20, 2021 34   BYU L 64-72 29%    
  Feb 25, 2021 133   @ Pepperdine L 70-71 40%    
  Feb 27, 2021 303   Portland W 77-63 92%    
Projected Record 12 - 11 7 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.2 7.4 2.3 0.2 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 3.2 11.5 2.7 0.1 17.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 13.0 5.3 0.1 19.6 5th
6th 0.4 8.3 9.2 0.3 18.2 6th
7th 0.1 4.0 10.3 1.3 15.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 6.2 2.5 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 0.8 0.0 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.3 3.3 11.4 22.5 26.8 21.2 10.7 3.2 0.5 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

With games being cancelled frequently this season, the conference records below may not be accurate. The number of wins in the table below are based on games that are currently scheduled and appear in the schedule above.
Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.5% 11.3% 2.0% 9.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 9.5%
10-6 3.2% 2.7% 1.2% 1.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.1 1.5%
9-7 10.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 0.1%
8-8 21.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.2 0.0%
7-9 26.8% 0.3% 0.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.8
6-10 22.5% 0.2% 0.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.5
5-11 11.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 11.4
4-12 3.3% 3.3
3-13 0.3% 0.3
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%