McNeese St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.3#342
Expected Predictive Rating-21.9#343
Pace70.2#172
Improvement-0.3#209

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#293
First Shot-0.7#193
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#331
Layup/Dunks+2.9#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#257
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#226
Freethrows-0.3#193
Improvement+0.0#161

Defense
Total Defense-9.5#342
First Shot-8.5#343
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#236
Layups/Dunks-4.2#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#276
Freethrows-2.2#294
Improvement-0.3#207
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.3% 4.0% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 7.6% 18.3% 4.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 43.1% 22.3% 49.4%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Away) - 22.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 00 - 0
Quad 30 - 30 - 3
Quad 44 - 124 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 120   @ Nebraska L 55-102 5%     0 - 1 -42.0 -20.8 -16.5
  Dec 04, 2020 159   @ Stephen F. Austin L 76-86 8%     0 - 2 0 - 1 -8.3 -3.5 -3.7
  Dec 19, 2020 185   @ Louisiana L 65-75 10%     0 - 3 -10.2 -10.9 +1.6
  Jan 02, 2021 283   Central Arkansas L 67-81 31%     0 - 4 0 - 2 -23.2 -17.8 -4.3
  Jan 09, 2021 319   Northwestern St. L 75-78 43%     0 - 5 0 - 3 -15.4 -2.8 -12.7
  Jan 13, 2021 327   @ Incarnate Word L 61-83 35%     0 - 6 0 - 4 -32.4 -13.0 -21.2
  Jan 16, 2021 306   @ New Orleans L 73-79 23%    
  Jan 20, 2021 320   SE Louisiana L 74-76 49%    
  Jan 23, 2021 337   @ Houston Baptist L 80-82 37%    
  Jan 27, 2021 191   @ Nicholls St. L 68-82 8%    
  Jan 30, 2021 305   @ Lamar L 70-76 23%    
  Feb 06, 2021 283   @ Central Arkansas L 77-85 18%    
  Feb 13, 2021 319   @ Northwestern St. L 75-80 28%    
  Feb 17, 2021 327   Incarnate Word L 71-72 52%    
  Feb 20, 2021 306   New Orleans L 74-77 44%    
  Feb 24, 2021 320   @ SE Louisiana L 72-77 28%    
  Feb 27, 2021 337   Houston Baptist W 81-80 58%    
  Mar 03, 2021 191   Nicholls St. L 70-80 21%    
  Mar 06, 2021 305   Lamar L 71-74 43%    
Projected Record 4 - 15 4 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 3.2 0.9 0.0 5.4 7th
8th 0.5 4.5 1.9 0.2 7.1 8th
9th 0.1 3.0 4.9 0.4 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.7 7.1 1.8 0.0 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 1.2 7.0 4.6 0.3 13.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.7 6.9 7.7 1.2 17.6 12th
13th 1.7 6.5 10.5 8.3 1.9 0.0 28.9 13th
Total 1.8 6.7 12.2 16.4 18.3 16.4 12.9 7.8 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.0% 0.0
11-5 0.2% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
10-6 0.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
9-7 2.0% 2.0
8-8 4.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.5
7-9 7.8% 7.8
6-10 12.9% 12.9
5-11 16.4% 16.4
4-12 18.3% 18.3
3-13 16.4% 16.4
2-14 12.2% 12.2
1-15 6.7% 6.7
0-16 1.8% 1.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.8%