Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-28.4#348
Expected Predictive Rating-26.1#348
Pace79.4#19
Improvement-0.2#190

Offense
Total Offense-13.7#346
First Shot-12.5#348
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#240
Layup/Dunks-12.2#348
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.3#7
Freethrows-6.9#348
Improvement+0.0#180

Defense
Total Defense-14.7#348
First Shot-12.7#348
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#300
Layups/Dunks-4.9#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#117
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.1#345
Freethrows-0.6#218
Improvement-0.2#196
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 97.5% 89.8% 97.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Prairie View (Home) - 4.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 41 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 44   @ Arkansas L 62-142 0.2%    0 - 1 -67.1 -16.5 -35.2
  Nov 26, 2020 91   @ North Texas L 62-116 0.3%    0 - 2 -46.1 -15.3 -22.3
  Nov 28, 2020 179   @ Wyoming L 61-97 1%     0 - 3 -35.4 -20.5 -11.1
  Dec 01, 2020 158   @ Grand Canyon L 49-88 1%     0 - 4 -36.7 -25.5 -10.4
  Dec 06, 2020 86   @ Western Kentucky L 69-96 0.3%    0 - 5 -18.7 -5.9 -10.6
  Dec 08, 2020 63   @ Memphis L 57-94 0.2%    0 - 6 -26.1 -10.8 -12.1
  Dec 13, 2020 137   @ Vanderbilt L 41-84 1%     0 - 7 -39.2 -29.0 -13.3
  Dec 21, 2020 79   @ Mississippi St. L 48-87 0.3%    0 - 8 -30.1 -18.5 -14.0
  Jan 02, 2021 343   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 52-92 11%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -55.2 -33.3 -17.8
  Jan 12, 2021 346   Alabama St. L 51-64 26%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -34.6 -23.5 -12.6
  Jan 16, 2021 336   @ Alcorn St. L 59-71 7%     0 - 11 0 - 3 -23.8 -13.5 -12.0
  Jan 18, 2021 258   @ Southern L 61-102 2%     0 - 12 0 - 4 -45.1 -18.4 -22.5
  Jan 23, 2021 267   Prairie View L 65-85 4%    
  Jan 25, 2021 252   Texas Southern L 69-90 3%    
  Feb 06, 2021 333   @ Alabama A&M L 68-85 5%    
  Feb 08, 2021 346   @ Alabama St. L 66-76 14%    
  Feb 13, 2021 336   Alcorn St. L 73-86 14%    
  Feb 15, 2021 258   Southern L 65-86 5%    
  Feb 20, 2021 267   Prairie View L 65-85 5%    
  Feb 22, 2021 252   @ Texas Southern L 67-92 1%    
  Mar 06, 2021 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 72-82 24%    
Projected Record 1 - 20 1 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.9 8th
9th 1.0 3.7 1.6 0.3 6.6 9th
10th 46.8 35.0 9.5 1.0 92.3 10th
Total 46.8 36.1 13.4 3.3 0.5 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 3.3% 3.3
2-16 13.4% 13.4
1-17 36.1% 36.1
0-18 46.8% 46.8
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 46.8%