New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#227
Expected Predictive Rating-5.1#237
Pace67.8#228
Improvement+1.4#87

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#230
First Shot-3.1#262
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#134
Layup/Dunks-4.4#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows+1.2#105
Improvement+2.1#49

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#226
First Shot-4.6#308
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#21
Layups/Dunks-0.8#202
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#124
Freethrows-3.1#320
Improvement-0.7#232
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 10.1% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 56.3% 72.7% 33.3%
.500 or above in Conference 86.3% 96.1% 72.6%
Conference Champion 24.8% 35.1% 10.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four3.9% 4.0% 3.6%
First Round6.2% 8.2% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 58.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 32 - 5
Quad 49 - 510 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 01, 2020 170   Bryant L 85-93 44%     0 - 1 -10.6 -2.6 -6.8
  Dec 06, 2020 283   @ Quinnipiac L 58-64 56%     0 - 2 -11.7 -17.2 +6.1
  Dec 27, 2020 221   Hartford W 77-69 56%     1 - 2 1 - 0 +2.2 +1.9 +0.1
  Dec 28, 2020 221   Hartford W 53-51 56%     2 - 2 2 - 0 -3.8 -16.7 +13.0
  Jan 02, 2021 318   @ Maine L 56-59 69%     2 - 3 2 - 1 -12.2 -10.0 -2.5
  Jan 03, 2021 318   @ Maine W 62-58 69%     3 - 3 3 - 1 -5.2 +0.1 -4.6
  Jan 09, 2021 172   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 54-69 44%     3 - 4 3 - 2 -17.7 -16.0 -2.1
  Jan 10, 2021 172   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-68 44%     3 - 5 3 - 3 -4.7 +2.0 -7.0
  Jan 16, 2021 253   @ Stony Brook W 81-64 48%     4 - 5 4 - 3 +13.3 +11.4 +2.6
  Jan 17, 2021 253   @ Stony Brook W 67-64 48%     5 - 5 5 - 3 -0.7 +2.5 -2.8
  Jan 23, 2021 208   Albany W 69-68 58%    
  Jan 24, 2021 208   Albany W 69-68 58%    
  Jan 30, 2021 337   @ Binghamton W 75-67 72%    
  Jan 31, 2021 337   @ Binghamton W 75-67 72%    
  Feb 18, 2021 107   @ Vermont L 61-72 13%    
  Feb 19, 2021 107   @ Vermont L 61-72 14%    
  Feb 27, 2021 243   Umass Lowell W 73-70 63%    
  Feb 28, 2021 243   Umass Lowell W 73-70 64%    
Projected Record 9 - 9 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.5 8.3 11.9 3.7 0.3 24.8 1st
2nd 0.9 12.8 14.4 1.9 30.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 5.9 10.8 1.2 18.0 3rd
4th 1.2 9.1 1.5 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 4.7 3.1 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 3.5 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.3 1.6 0.5 2.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.5 3.3 10.0 18.9 25.6 23.9 13.8 3.7 0.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.3    0.3
12-4 100.0% 3.7    3.7
11-5 86.0% 11.9    7.1 4.5 0.2
10-6 34.8% 8.3    0.6 4.8 2.5 0.5
9-7 1.9% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.1
8-8 0.0%
Total 24.8% 24.8 11.8 9.3 3.0 0.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.3% 20.9% 20.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 3.7% 13.4% 13.4% 14.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.2
11-5 13.8% 16.6% 16.6% 15.5 0.2 0.8 1.4 11.5
10-6 23.9% 9.8% 9.8% 15.8 0.5 1.9 21.5
9-7 25.6% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4 24.2
8-8 18.9% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.0 18.0
7-9 10.0% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 9.8
6-10 3.3% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.2 3.1
5-11 0.5% 0.5
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.3 1.7 6.0 92.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Lose Out 0.4%