North Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#278
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#265
Pace68.7#216
Improvement-0.1#190

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#300
First Shot-4.5#282
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#203
Layup/Dunks+1.2#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#238
Freethrows-2.6#309
Improvement-2.8#330

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#236
First Shot-3.4#284
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#114
Layups/Dunks-7.8#338
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#290
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#26
Freethrows+1.4#98
Improvement+2.7#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.0% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.3% 3.0% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 59.5% 77.8% 50.1%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.4% 2.0% 1.1%
First Round0.8% 1.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota St. (Home) - 33.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 46 - 78 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 205   @ Miami (OH) L 67-81 29%     0 - 1 -15.5 -6.5 -9.1
  Dec 02, 2020 330   @ Dixie St. L 73-74 65%     0 - 2 -12.3 -3.4 -8.9
  Dec 04, 2020 35   @ Minnesota L 67-76 4%     0 - 3 +4.8 +2.0 +2.6
  Dec 10, 2020 173   South Dakota W 75-71 27%     1 - 3 1 - 0 +3.1 +3.2 +0.0
  Dec 11, 2020 101   South Dakota St. L 62-74 14%     1 - 4 1 - 1 -7.5 -12.1 +4.9
  Dec 12, 2020 158   North Dakota St. L 52-53 24%     1 - 5 1 - 2 -0.8 -11.8 +10.8
  Dec 17, 2020 170   @ Southern Illinois L 64-85 22%     1 - 6 -20.3 -8.0 -12.5
  Dec 18, 2020 170   @ Southern Illinois L 50-62 22%     1 - 7 -11.3 -20.3 +8.4
  Dec 22, 2020 51   @ Drake L 55-88 4%     1 - 8 -20.7 -13.4 -7.1
  Jan 02, 2021 235   UMKC W 52-45 47%     2 - 8 2 - 2 +0.6 -19.6 +20.5
  Jan 03, 2021 235   UMKC L 53-77 47%     2 - 9 2 - 3 -30.4 -14.0 -19.5
  Jan 08, 2021 149   @ Oral Roberts W 72-71 18%     3 - 9 3 - 3 +3.7 +1.3 +2.4
  Jan 09, 2021 149   @ Oral Roberts L 57-74 18%     3 - 10 3 - 4 -14.3 -19.9 +6.0
  Jan 15, 2021 158   North Dakota St. L 63-69 34%    
  Jan 16, 2021 158   North Dakota St. L 63-69 34%    
  Jan 22, 2021 101   @ South Dakota St. L 66-79 9%    
  Jan 23, 2021 101   @ South Dakota St. L 66-79 9%    
  Jan 29, 2021 321   Western Illinois W 75-70 74%    
  Jan 30, 2021 321   Western Illinois W 75-70 73%    
  Feb 05, 2021 335   @ Denver W 74-69 61%    
  Feb 06, 2021 335   @ Denver W 74-69 61%    
  Feb 12, 2021 173   South Dakota L 69-74 38%    
  Feb 13, 2021 173   South Dakota L 69-74 37%    
  Feb 19, 2021 259   @ Nebraska Omaha L 70-73 35%    
  Feb 20, 2021 259   @ Nebraska Omaha L 70-73 34%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 8 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.7 1.2 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.3 7.0 2.5 0.2 17.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.2 8.6 14.4 11.1 3.8 0.4 40.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 7.5 8.7 4.3 0.9 0.0 23.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.7 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.3 2.0 6.5 13.2 18.6 20.7 17.6 12.4 5.8 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-3 24.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.5% 10.4% 10.4% 16.0 0.1 0.4
12-4 2.3% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.2 2.2
11-5 5.8% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.2 5.6
10-6 12.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 12.1
9-7 17.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 17.4
8-8 20.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 20.5
7-9 18.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 18.5
6-10 13.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.1
5-11 6.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.4
4-12 2.0% 2.0
3-13 0.3% 0.3
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 1.4 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%