Northwestern St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#319
Expected Predictive Rating-19.1#338
Pace76.8#36
Improvement-1.3#253

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#301
First Shot-4.6#295
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#199
Layup/Dunks-1.4#230
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#220
Freethrows-2.7#319
Improvement-1.2#248

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#320
First Shot-4.6#309
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#273
Layups/Dunks-4.1#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#182
Freethrows-1.6#274
Improvement-0.2#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.6% 26.0% 8.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.8% 4.6% 15.1%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Away) - 40.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 46 - 106 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 16   @ Texas Tech L 58-101 1%     0 - 1 -25.8 -12.1 -8.3
  Nov 28, 2020 197   Texas Arlington L 71-80 22%     0 - 2 -11.8 -12.4 +1.8
  Nov 29, 2020 115   @ Louisiana Tech L 77-91 7%     0 - 3 -8.4 +7.4 -15.6
  Dec 03, 2020 102   @ TCU L 68-74 6%     0 - 4 +0.6 -4.9 +5.8
  Dec 06, 2020 299   Louisiana Monroe L 83-92 OT 48%     0 - 5 -19.6 -4.3 -14.1
  Dec 18, 2020 87   @ Tulsa L 55-82 5%     0 - 6 -18.7 -14.0 -3.4
  Dec 19, 2020 94   @ Missouri St. L 67-94 5%     0 - 7 -19.3 -9.0 -8.4
  Dec 21, 2020 1   @ Gonzaga L 57-95 0.3%    0 - 8 -12.2 -7.4 -4.5
  Dec 22, 2020 1   @ Gonzaga L 78-95 0.3%    0 - 9 +8.8 +5.5 +5.2
  Dec 23, 2020 135   @ Washington St. L 52-62 9%     0 - 10 -5.8 -16.8 +11.2
  Jan 02, 2021 330   @ Houston Baptist L 93-99 OT 49%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -16.9 -6.5 -9.2
  Jan 06, 2021 324   Incarnate Word L 67-75 61%     0 - 12 0 - 2 -22.0 -13.4 -8.6
  Jan 09, 2021 340   @ McNeese St. W 78-75 58%     1 - 12 1 - 2 -10.0 -4.2 -5.7
  Jan 13, 2021 191   Nicholls St. L 66-76 26%     1 - 13 1 - 3 -14.3 -14.4 +0.9
  Jan 20, 2021 155   @ Stephen F. Austin L 74-86 11%     1 - 14 1 - 4 -9.5 +0.7 -10.0
  Jan 23, 2021 323   @ SE Louisiana L 76-77 41%    
  Jan 27, 2021 292   New Orleans L 78-79 49%    
  Jan 30, 2021 276   @ Central Arkansas L 80-86 27%    
  Feb 06, 2021 330   Houston Baptist W 86-82 68%    
  Feb 10, 2021 324   @ Incarnate Word L 73-74 43%    
  Feb 13, 2021 340   McNeese St. W 83-77 73%    
  Feb 17, 2021 191   @ Nicholls St. L 72-82 13%    
  Feb 24, 2021 155   Stephen F. Austin L 73-83 22%    
  Feb 27, 2021 323   SE Louisiana W 78-76 63%    
  Mar 03, 2021 292   @ New Orleans L 76-81 26%    
  Mar 06, 2021 276   Central Arkansas L 82-84 46%    
Projected Record 6 - 20 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.9 4th
5th 0.5 2.8 2.6 0.7 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.2 3.6 4.2 1.6 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 2.9 7.3 2.0 0.3 12.6 7th
8th 0.8 8.5 4.3 0.2 13.8 8th
9th 0.2 5.7 7.8 0.7 14.3 9th
10th 0.1 3.2 8.7 2.5 0.0 14.5 10th
11th 0.0 1.2 7.9 4.2 0.2 13.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.4 0.4 9.6 12th
13th 0.4 1.0 2.3 0.6 0.0 4.3 13th
Total 0.4 1.8 7.6 16.3 19.8 22.1 16.4 9.3 4.7 1.3 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.3% 0.3
10-6 1.3% 1.3
9-7 4.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 4.7
8-8 9.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.2
7-9 16.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.4
6-10 22.1% 22.1
5-11 19.8% 19.8
4-12 16.3% 16.3
3-13 7.6% 7.6
2-14 1.8% 1.8
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%