Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#32
Expected Predictive Rating+15.7#21
Pace74.1#71
Improvement+3.2#23

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#53
First Shot+4.4#61
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#91
Layup/Dunks+8.9#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#320
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#294
Freethrows+2.9#32
Improvement+4.0#7

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#29
First Shot+5.9#29
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#146
Layups/Dunks+2.5#103
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows+2.0#57
Improvement-0.8#241
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 98.1% 99.6% 95.9%
.500 or above in Conference 52.9% 67.4% 33.0%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Home) - 58.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 6
Quad 23 - 28 - 8
Quad 33 - 111 - 9
Quad 44 - 015 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 171   @ Texas Arlington W 75-68 86%     1 - 0 +7.7 -4.4 +11.5
  Nov 28, 2020 228   Texas Southern W 85-65 95%     2 - 0 +13.9 +5.9 +7.4
  Dec 01, 2020 55   @ Marquette W 70-62 53%     3 - 0 +19.7 -5.9 +24.7
  Dec 05, 2020 273   Oakland W 84-71 96%     4 - 0 +4.4 +2.2 +1.7
  Dec 08, 2020 149   Oral Roberts W 83-78 88%     5 - 0 +4.5 -0.9 +4.9
  Dec 12, 2020 56   @ Wichita St. W 67-64 54%     6 - 0 +14.4 -2.0 +16.4
  Dec 16, 2020 97   TCU L 76-77 81%     6 - 1 0 - 1 +2.3 -1.4 +3.7
  Dec 20, 2020 10   @ Texas L 74-77 28%     6 - 2 0 - 2 +15.4 +8.1 +7.4
  Jan 02, 2021 12   @ Texas Tech W 82-77 OT 32%     7 - 2 1 - 2 +22.2 +12.5 +9.3
  Jan 04, 2021 17   West Virginia L 84-87 47%     7 - 3 1 - 3 +10.1 +11.9 -1.5
  Jan 09, 2021 139   @ Kansas St. W 70-54 81%     8 - 3 2 - 3 +19.2 +5.5 +15.2
  Jan 12, 2021 13   Kansas W 75-70 44%     9 - 3 3 - 3 +19.0 +9.1 +9.8
  Jan 16, 2021 26   Oklahoma W 75-74 58%    
  Jan 23, 2021 2   Baylor L 69-78 26%    
  Jan 25, 2021 104   @ Iowa St. W 78-72 68%    
  Jan 30, 2021 29   Arkansas W 79-78 60%    
  Feb 03, 2021 97   @ TCU W 73-67 66%    
  Feb 06, 2021 10   Texas L 71-74 46%    
  Feb 08, 2021 13   @ Kansas L 70-75 29%    
  Feb 13, 2021 139   Kansas St. W 75-63 90%    
  Feb 16, 2021 104   Iowa St. W 80-70 84%    
  Feb 20, 2021 2   @ Baylor L 68-80 11%    
  Feb 23, 2021 12   Texas Tech L 70-72 49%    
  Feb 27, 2021 26   @ Oklahoma L 73-76 36%    
Projected Record 15 - 9 9 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 4.8 1.2 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.6 7.7 3.2 0.2 13.8 4th
5th 0.5 4.1 10.7 6.5 0.5 22.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 5.5 11.6 7.6 0.9 0.0 26.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.2 8.1 5.4 0.7 20.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.7 7.8 14.8 21.2 21.7 17.0 9.7 3.6 0.8 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 86.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 55.1% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 9.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.8% 0.8
12-6 3.6% 3.6
11-7 9.7% 9.7
10-8 17.0% 17.0
9-9 21.7% 21.7
8-10 21.2% 21.2
7-11 14.8% 14.8
6-12 7.8% 7.8
5-13 2.7% 2.7
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1%
Lose Out 0.0%