Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#149
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#190
Pace72.9#100
Improvement+0.0#182

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#68
First Shot+3.0#100
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#86
Layup/Dunks-6.1#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#143
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.6#6
Freethrows-0.9#231
Improvement+0.3#137

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#278
First Shot-1.6#223
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#296
Layups/Dunks-3.2#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#188
Freethrows+0.5#159
Improvement-0.3#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.8% 19.7% 13.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 65.7% 70.1% 38.4%
.500 or above in Conference 96.4% 97.9% 87.3%
Conference Champion 5.6% 6.3% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.9% 5.7% 7.2%
First Round16.9% 17.7% 11.5%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Away) - 86.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 33 - 33 - 9
Quad 49 - 212 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 46   @ Missouri L 64-91 14%     0 - 1 -14.4 -5.1 -7.7
  Dec 02, 2020 56   @ Wichita St. L 80-85 17%     0 - 2 +6.4 +10.6 -4.1
  Dec 08, 2020 32   @ Oklahoma St. L 78-83 12%     0 - 3 +9.0 +6.1 +3.3
  Dec 16, 2020 26   @ Oklahoma L 65-79 10%     0 - 4 +0.9 -4.5 +6.0
  Dec 20, 2020 29   @ Arkansas L 76-87 11%     0 - 5 +3.2 -0.8 +5.5
  Jan 02, 2021 259   @ Nebraska Omaha W 95-83 70%     1 - 5 1 - 0 +7.7 +15.8 -8.7
  Jan 03, 2021 259   @ Nebraska Omaha W 86-75 70%     2 - 5 2 - 0 +6.7 +7.1 -0.9
  Jan 08, 2021 278   North Dakota L 71-72 82%     2 - 6 2 - 1 -9.9 -0.1 -9.8
  Jan 09, 2021 278   North Dakota W 74-57 82%     3 - 6 3 - 1 +8.1 -3.7 +11.4
  Jan 15, 2021 335   @ Denver W 85-72 86%    
  Jan 16, 2021 335   @ Denver W 85-72 86%    
  Jan 23, 2021 235   UMKC W 72-65 79%    
  Jan 24, 2021 235   UMKC W 72-65 80%    
  Feb 05, 2021 158   @ North Dakota St. L 73-74 42%    
  Feb 06, 2021 158   @ North Dakota St. L 73-74 42%    
  Feb 13, 2021 101   South Dakota St. L 79-81 48%    
  Feb 14, 2021 101   South Dakota St. L 79-81 49%    
  Feb 20, 2021 173   @ South Dakota W 79-78 46%    
  Feb 21, 2021 173   @ South Dakota W 79-78 46%    
  Feb 27, 2021 321   Western Illinois W 88-74 91%    
  Feb 28, 2021 321   Western Illinois W 88-74 91%    
Projected Record 11 - 10 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.8 1.1 5.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 5.2 8.0 2.4 0.2 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.8 10.5 11.1 2.9 0.1 29.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 8.7 13.7 9.9 2.2 0.0 37.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.1 2.7 3.1 1.0 0.1 8.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 6.1 12.6 18.6 21.5 18.7 12.4 5.3 1.3 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 85.6% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-2 52.9% 2.8    1.1 1.4 0.3 0.0
13-3 12.3% 1.5    0.2 0.8 0.5 0.1
12-4 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-5 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 2.0 2.5 1.0 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 1.3% 52.0% 52.0% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6
14-2 5.3% 39.9% 39.9% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 0.1 3.2
13-3 12.4% 29.1% 29.1% 15.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.8 8.8
12-4 18.7% 23.3% 23.3% 15.4 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.2 14.4
11-5 21.5% 17.1% 17.1% 15.8 0.0 0.8 2.9 17.9
10-6 18.6% 13.9% 13.9% 15.9 0.2 2.4 16.0
9-7 12.6% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.0 1.2 11.4
8-8 6.1% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.6 5.6
7-9 2.3% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 2.2
6-10 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
5-11 0.2% 19.2% 19.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2
4-12 0.0% 0.0
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 18.8% 18.8% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 5.5 10.3 81.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 13.1 2.5 18.7 46.2 30.0 2.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%