Portland St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#285
Expected Predictive Rating-12.1#314
Pace75.6#44
Improvement+0.3#157

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#286
First Shot-6.4#316
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#76
Layup/Dunks-5.6#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#267
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#180
Freethrows+1.5#86
Improvement-0.2#185

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#260
First Shot-4.2#300
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#103
Layups/Dunks-2.2#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#129
Freethrows-4.3#338
Improvement+0.5#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 2.9% 4.9% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 2.9% 4.9% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 5.7% 16.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Home) - 54.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 45 - 86 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 05, 2020 287   @ Portland L 73-86 43%     0 - 1 -18.9 -14.4 -2.2
  Dec 13, 2020 136   @ Washington St. L 60-69 14%     0 - 2 -4.9 -7.4 +2.5
  Dec 18, 2020 152   Weber St. L 66-94 26%     0 - 3 0 - 1 -29.1 -17.8 -7.0
  Dec 20, 2020 152   Weber St. W 74-72 26%     1 - 3 1 - 1 +0.9 -5.3 +6.0
  Dec 22, 2020 141   @ Oregon St. L 62-67 15%     1 - 4 -1.6 -7.0 +5.1
  Jan 14, 2021 178   @ Montana St. L 64-71 22%     1 - 5 1 - 2 -6.6 -8.3 +1.9
  Jan 16, 2021 178   @ Montana St. L 64-69 22%     1 - 6 1 - 3 -4.6 -7.6 +3.0
  Jan 21, 2021 254   Idaho St. L 57-64 50%     1 - 7 1 - 4 -14.6 -10.2 -5.6
  Jan 23, 2021 254   Idaho St. L 69-70 54%    
  Feb 04, 2021 157   Montana L 65-71 32%    
  Feb 06, 2021 157   Montana L 65-71 32%    
  Feb 11, 2021 299   @ Northern Arizona L 70-71 43%    
  Feb 13, 2021 299   @ Northern Arizona L 70-71 43%    
  Feb 18, 2021 337   Idaho W 77-69 79%    
  Feb 20, 2021 337   @ Idaho W 75-71 61%    
  Feb 25, 2021 194   @ Northern Colorado L 66-73 22%    
  Feb 27, 2021 194   @ Northern Colorado L 66-73 23%    
  Mar 04, 2021 199   Southern Utah L 77-80 44%    
  Mar 06, 2021 199   Southern Utah L 77-80 44%    
Projected Record 6 - 13 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 0.8 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.4 0.4 3.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.9 1.8 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.8 4.5 0.3 14.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 6.3 10.7 7.1 1.1 0.0 26.5 9th
10th 1.6 6.5 12.3 11.9 5.6 0.7 38.6 10th
11th 0.5 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.6 11th
Total 0.5 3.7 8.5 14.3 18.6 19.2 16.0 10.6 5.7 2.3 0.6 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 19.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 3.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.1% 0.1
11-9 0.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
10-10 2.3% 2.3
9-11 5.7% 5.7
8-12 10.6% 10.6
7-13 16.0% 16.0
6-14 19.2% 19.2
5-15 18.6% 18.6
4-16 14.3% 14.3
3-17 8.5% 8.5
2-18 3.7% 3.7
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1%
Lose Out 0.5%