Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#265
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#196
Pace73.9#76
Improvement+0.7#130

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#295
First Shot-5.8#304
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#128
Layup/Dunks-2.1#247
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#204
Freethrows-2.6#311
Improvement-0.9#242

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#215
First Shot+1.4#129
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#319
Layups/Dunks+2.6#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#118
Freethrows-3.9#333
Improvement+1.6#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 22.8% 25.1% 16.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 89.0% 93.8% 76.0%
.500 or above in Conference 92.2% 96.0% 81.9%
Conference Champion 34.9% 41.3% 17.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four15.9% 16.5% 14.2%
First Round13.8% 15.9% 8.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 72.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 21 - 5
Quad 413 - 414 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 153   Arkansas Little Rock L 66-71 26%     0 - 1 -4.6 -8.9 +4.3
  Nov 27, 2020 223   Evansville W 64-61 41%     1 - 1 -1.1 -7.2 +6.4
  Nov 29, 2020 27   @ Louisville L 64-86 4%     1 - 2 -7.2 +7.6 -17.9
  Dec 21, 2020 131   @ Washington St. L 62-90 16%     1 - 3 -23.8 -5.1 -18.5
  Dec 30, 2020 100   @ TCU L 61-66 12%     1 - 4 +1.6 -11.5 +13.3
  Jan 11, 2021 232   Texas Southern W 73-67 49%     2 - 4 1 - 0 -0.3 -7.7 +7.1
  Jan 16, 2021 310   Jackson St. W 70-65 73%    
  Jan 18, 2021 313   Grambling St. W 71-66 74%    
  Jan 23, 2021 348   @ Mississippi Valley W 85-66 96%    
  Jan 25, 2021 342   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-69 69%    
  Jan 30, 2021 333   Alabama A&M W 76-67 82%    
  Feb 01, 2021 346   Alabama St. W 74-59 93%    
  Feb 06, 2021 232   @ Texas Southern L 72-76 33%    
  Feb 13, 2021 310   @ Jackson St. W 68-66 50%    
  Feb 20, 2021 348   @ Mississippi Valley W 85-66 95%    
  Feb 22, 2021 342   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-68 85%    
  Feb 27, 2021 333   @ Alabama A&M W 74-69 63%    
  Mar 01, 2021 346   @ Alabama St. W 72-61 81%    
  Mar 04, 2021 263   Southern W 71-69 60%    
  Mar 06, 2021 343   Alcorn St. W 81-69 88%    
Projected Record 12 - 8 11 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.3 7.1 12.1 9.8 3.2 34.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.6 8.9 10.5 5.2 0.6 29.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.2 8.5 7.1 2.9 0.3 24.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.5 8.5 13.5 18.4 20.5 17.6 10.4 3.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 3.2    3.2
14-4 93.9% 9.8    7.7 2.1 0.1
13-5 68.9% 12.1    6.6 4.8 0.7
12-6 34.8% 7.1    2.7 3.4 1.0 0.0
11-7 12.4% 2.3    0.5 1.1 0.6 0.0
10-8 2.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
Total 34.9% 34.9 20.8 11.4 2.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 3.2% 49.3% 49.3% 14.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.6
14-4 10.4% 41.2% 41.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.9 6.1
13-5 17.6% 31.9% 31.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 5.2 12.0
12-6 20.5% 24.1% 24.1% 16.0 0.1 4.9 15.6
11-7 18.4% 17.1% 17.1% 16.0 3.2 15.3
10-8 13.5% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 0.0 1.9 11.6
9-9 8.5% 9.7% 9.7% 16.0 0.8 7.7
8-10 4.5% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.3 4.2
7-11 2.2% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.1 2.0
6-12 0.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 22.8% 22.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.2 0.8 2.4 19.4 77.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 14.3 12.3 44.3 41.1 2.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%