Purdue Fort Wayne
Summit League
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#193
Expected Predictive Rating-3.8#215
Pace76.2#42
Improvement+5.4#5

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#142
First Shot+5.3#46
After Offensive Rebound-4.3#334
Layup/Dunks+2.8#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#34
Freethrows-0.2#190
Improvement+4.3#4

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#272
First Shot-5.7#321
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#44
Layups/Dunks-5.3#315
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#283
Freethrows+2.0#67
Improvement+1.1#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 74.9% 85.9% 61.4%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Away) - 55.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 00 - 0
Quad 32 - 32 - 3
Quad 49 - 712 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 321   SE Louisiana W 67-63 OT 84%     1 - 0 -9.1 -21.2 +11.5
  Dec 19, 2020 189   Cleveland St. L 61-63 56%     1 - 1 -6.0 -12.1 +6.1
  Dec 20, 2020 189   Cleveland St. L 80-89 56%     1 - 2 -13.0 +10.1 -23.4
  Dec 26, 2020 230   Robert Morris L 88-102 64%     1 - 3 -20.1 +7.6 -27.0
  Dec 27, 2020 230   Robert Morris W 87-82 64%     2 - 3 -1.1 +7.2 -8.5
  Jan 01, 2021 225   @ Northern Kentucky L 68-75 50%     2 - 4 -9.4 -6.2 -3.2
  Jan 02, 2021 225   @ Northern Kentucky L 68-70 50%     2 - 5 -4.4 -6.0 +1.6
  Jan 08, 2021 210   Illinois-Chicago W 96-89 OT 60%     3 - 5 +1.9 +8.5 -7.7
  Jan 09, 2021 210   Illinois-Chicago W 88-55 60%     4 - 5 +27.9 +7.6 +17.4
  Jan 15, 2021 209   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-72 46%     5 - 5 +7.5 +1.6 +5.1
  Jan 16, 2021 209   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-74 46%     6 - 5 +5.5 +2.7 +2.2
  Jan 22, 2021 271   @ Green Bay W 81-78 55%    
  Jan 23, 2021 271   @ Green Bay W 81-78 55%    
  Jan 29, 2021 254   Oakland W 82-77 73%    
  Jan 30, 2021 254   Oakland W 82-77 72%    
  Feb 05, 2021 222   @ Detroit Mercy L 79-80 45%    
  Feb 06, 2021 222   @ Detroit Mercy L 79-80 45%    
  Feb 12, 2021 268   @ Youngstown St. W 80-78 54%    
  Feb 13, 2021 268   @ Youngstown St. W 80-78 54%    
  Feb 19, 2021 189   Cleveland St. W 73-71 61%    
  Feb 20, 2021 189   Cleveland St. W 73-71 60%    
Projected Record 12 - 9 0 - 0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 8.6 8.6 9th
10th 91.4 91.4 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16 100.0% 100.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2%
Lose Out 0.1%