SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#323
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#271
Pace72.4#113
Improvement-2.7#309

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#300
First Shot-6.6#321
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#88
Layup/Dunks-3.9#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#243
Freethrows+2.9#25
Improvement+2.5#38

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#322
First Shot-4.4#302
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#292
Layups/Dunks+0.7#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#295
Freethrows-2.1#293
Improvement-5.2#346
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.2% 1.9% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 22.1% 30.7% 9.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 2.8% 13.0%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Home) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 47 - 78 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 195   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 63-67 OT 16%     0 - 1 -4.7 -21.3 +17.1
  Nov 28, 2020 95   @ UAB L 59-84 5%     0 - 2 -17.7 -14.4 -1.0
  Nov 30, 2020 30   @ LSU L 43-96 2%     0 - 3 -38.7 -29.1 -7.5
  Dec 02, 2020 279   @ California Baptist W 81-80 28%     1 - 3 -4.5 -4.1 -0.5
  Dec 04, 2020 279   @ California Baptist L 66-83 28%     1 - 4 -22.5 -19.5 -1.2
  Dec 09, 2020 110   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-78 6%     1 - 5 -2.9 +4.7 -8.0
  Dec 15, 2020 120   @ Texas A&M L 52-69 7%     1 - 6 -11.8 -9.6 -4.1
  Dec 23, 2020 303   @ Grambling St. W 77-70 34%     2 - 6 -0.2 +6.8 -6.8
  Dec 29, 2020 306   @ Lamar L 64-74 35%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -17.4 -11.3 -5.9
  Jan 06, 2021 176   Sam Houston St. L 52-70 21%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -20.9 -18.8 -3.2
  Jan 09, 2021 188   @ Nicholls St. L 67-87 16%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -20.5 -8.1 -11.8
  Jan 13, 2021 320   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-63 56%     3 - 9 1 - 3 +0.1 -2.2 +1.9
  Jan 16, 2021 125   @ Abilene Christian L 42-76 8%     3 - 10 1 - 4 -29.4 -24.4 -4.2
  Jan 20, 2021 341   @ McNeese St. W 92-88 57%     4 - 10 2 - 4 -9.1 +10.0 -19.0
  Jan 23, 2021 318   Northwestern St. W 77-76 60%    
  Jan 27, 2021 281   Central Arkansas L 79-81 47%    
  Jan 30, 2021 292   New Orleans L 75-77 48%    
  Feb 10, 2021 176   @ Sam Houston St. L 69-81 11%    
  Feb 13, 2021 188   Nicholls St. L 71-78 29%    
  Feb 17, 2021 320   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-71 38%    
  Feb 20, 2021 125   Abilene Christian L 61-73 15%    
  Feb 24, 2021 341   McNeese St. W 81-76 73%    
  Feb 27, 2021 318   @ Northwestern St. L 76-78 38%    
  Mar 03, 2021 281   @ Central Arkansas L 77-83 26%    
  Mar 06, 2021 292   @ New Orleans L 74-79 28%    
Projected Record 8 - 17 6 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.5 3.2 3.4 1.3 0.1 8.5 5th
6th 0.3 3.5 6.0 2.1 0.2 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 2.8 7.8 2.7 0.3 13.6 7th
8th 1.1 8.0 5.3 0.5 0.0 14.9 8th
9th 0.3 5.4 8.5 1.0 0.0 15.2 9th
10th 0.0 2.3 8.7 2.4 0.1 13.5 10th
11th 0.9 5.9 3.6 0.2 10.7 11th
12th 0.4 2.6 3.6 0.4 7.1 12th
13th 0.7 1.3 0.4 2.3 13th
Total 1.1 4.8 12.5 19.2 22.2 18.2 12.5 6.2 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0%
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.2% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.7% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
10-6 2.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.5
9-7 6.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.2
8-8 12.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.4
7-9 18.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.2
6-10 22.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.1
5-11 19.2% 19.2
4-12 12.5% 12.5
3-13 4.8% 4.8
2-14 1.1% 1.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.1%