SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#317
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#192
Pace73.3#87
Improvement-3.2#318

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#319
First Shot-5.1#299
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#250
Layup/Dunks+0.8#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#263
Freethrows-3.1#330
Improvement-1.7#279

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#287
First Shot-3.3#279
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#244
Layups/Dunks+0.1#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#304
Freethrows-2.8#315
Improvement-1.5#272
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 7.5% 16.0% 3.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.3% 3.0% 0.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.8% 6.6% 22.2%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Away) - 34.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 46 - 57 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 33   @ Saint Louis L 52-89 2%     0 - 1 -23.2 -18.1 -2.8
  Nov 26, 2020 41   LSU L 81-94 3%     0 - 2 -1.4 +10.3 -11.9
  Dec 02, 2020 299   @ Northern Illinois W 73-53 35%     1 - 2 +13.3 -3.0 +16.0
  Dec 05, 2020 265   Nebraska Omaha L 63-65 41%     1 - 3 -10.2 -11.3 +1.1
  Dec 09, 2020 208   @ Valparaiso L 58-80 19%     1 - 4 -23.4 -18.5 -3.2
  Dec 18, 2020 185   @ Morehead St. W 69-65 16%     2 - 4 1 - 0 +4.0 -0.7 +4.7
  Jan 21, 2021 294   @ Tennessee St. W 67-65 34%     3 - 4 2 - 0 -4.4 -8.5 +4.0
  Jan 23, 2021 87   @ Belmont L 62-114 5%     3 - 5 2 - 1 -43.9 -15.5 -23.1
  Jan 28, 2021 304   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 69-72 35%    
  Jan 30, 2021 342   @ Tennessee Martin W 76-73 58%    
  Feb 04, 2021 294   Tennessee St. L 67-68 53%    
  Feb 06, 2021 87   Belmont L 70-85 10%    
  Feb 11, 2021 303   @ Tennessee Tech L 70-73 33%    
  Feb 13, 2021 184   @ Jacksonville St. L 65-76 14%    
  Feb 18, 2021 207   @ Austin Peay L 69-78 17%    
  Feb 20, 2021 169   @ Murray St. L 65-77 12%    
  Feb 25, 2021 342   Tennessee Martin W 78-71 77%    
  Feb 27, 2021 304   Southeast Missouri St. W 71-70 56%    
Projected Record 7 - 11 6 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 1.3 5th
6th 0.3 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.9 5.1 4.9 1.1 0.1 12.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 7.1 8.0 1.9 0.1 18.2 8th
9th 0.4 6.6 10.1 2.7 0.0 19.9 9th
10th 0.1 5.2 11.0 3.9 0.2 20.4 10th
11th 3.1 8.4 4.4 0.3 16.1 11th
12th 1.6 4.3 2.1 0.1 8.1 12th
Total 1.6 7.5 16.1 23.2 22.3 16.3 8.5 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.2% 0.2
10-10 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
9-11 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.3
8-12 8.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.5
7-13 16.3% 16.3
6-14 22.3% 22.3
5-15 23.2% 23.2
4-16 16.1% 16.1
3-17 7.5% 7.5
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%