Sacred Heart
Northeast
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#315
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#272
Pace70.4#166
Improvement-0.9#222

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#301
First Shot-7.5#333
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#48
Layup/Dunks-5.7#332
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#151
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement-0.8#231

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#308
First Shot-5.4#316
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#182
Layups/Dunks-9.3#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#166
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#45
Freethrows-0.4#200
Improvement-0.1#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 4.1% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 17.5% 29.8% 9.3%
.500 or above in Conference 30.9% 47.8% 19.5%
Conference Champion 3.9% 7.8% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.3% 3.1% 1.8%
First Round1.4% 2.2% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Home) - 40.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 63 - 8
Quad 45 - 48 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 48   @ Rutgers L 63-86 3%     0 - 1 -10.5 -5.1 -4.8
  Dec 16, 2020 222   LIU Brooklyn L 55-75 33%     0 - 2 0 - 1 -25.8 -23.5 -0.8
  Dec 17, 2020 222   LIU Brooklyn W 87-72 33%     1 - 2 1 - 1 +9.2 +6.7 +1.5
  Dec 21, 2020 294   @ Wagner L 46-74 34%     1 - 3 1 - 2 -34.3 -27.0 -9.7
  Dec 22, 2020 294   @ Wagner W 86-85 2OT 34%     2 - 3 2 - 2 -5.3 -2.1 -3.4
  Jan 07, 2021 308   @ Merrimack L 90-97 OT 39%     2 - 4 2 - 3 -14.6 +4.1 -17.9
  Jan 08, 2021 308   @ Merrimack W 68-62 39%     3 - 4 3 - 3 -1.6 -0.4 -0.7
  Jan 14, 2021 333   Central Connecticut St. W 65-48 68%     4 - 4 4 - 3 +1.6 -17.1 +18.2
  Jan 21, 2021 237   St. Francis (PA) L 58-76 35%     4 - 5 4 - 4 -24.5 -14.2 -11.6
  Jan 22, 2021 237   St. Francis (PA) L 70-74 40%    
  Jan 30, 2021 234   @ Mount St. Mary's L 60-68 21%    
  Jan 31, 2021 234   @ Mount St. Mary's L 60-68 21%    
  Feb 04, 2021 333   @ Central Connecticut St. W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 11, 2021 167   Bryant L 76-84 27%    
  Feb 12, 2021 167   Bryant L 76-84 26%    
  Feb 20, 2021 288   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 73-78 30%    
  Feb 21, 2021 288   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 73-78 32%    
  Feb 25, 2021 312   Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-75 59%    
  Feb 26, 2021 312   Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-75 59%    
Projected Record 8 - 11 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.8 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.3 3.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.8 3.8 0.4 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 7.2 1.4 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 7.6 4.8 0.1 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 7.8 8.3 0.8 18.1 6th
7th 0.8 7.0 9.9 2.5 0.0 20.2 7th
8th 0.2 3.7 7.0 2.3 0.1 13.4 8th
9th 1.0 3.3 1.5 0.1 5.9 9th
10th 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 11th
Total 2.4 8.5 16.7 21.2 20.3 15.9 8.7 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 99.5% 0.4    0.4 0.0
12-6 83.0% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.1
11-7 43.2% 1.8    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-8 3.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.4% 17.1% 17.1% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.6% 14.3% 14.3% 15.7 0.1 0.1 1.4
11-7 4.3% 7.3% 7.3% 15.8 0.1 0.2 4.0
10-8 8.7% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 8.2
9-9 15.9% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.7 15.2
8-10 20.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.6 19.7
7-11 21.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.3 20.9
6-12 16.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 16.6
5-13 8.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.5
4-14 2.4% 2.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.6 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.3%