Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#159
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#90
Pace75.0#53
Improvement-2.2#280

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#259
First Shot-3.1#264
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#191
Layup/Dunks+1.9#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#318
Freethrows+0.9#112
Improvement+2.2#48

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#86
First Shot+0.6#156
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#24
Layups/Dunks+3.6#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#158
Freethrows-0.7#222
Improvement-4.4#344
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.2 12.4
.500 or above 69.4% 84.9% 49.8%
.500 or above in Conference 31.6% 46.8% 12.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 1.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pacific (Home) - 55.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 5
Quad 21 - 22 - 8
Quad 33 - 35 - 10
Quad 47 - 112 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 280   Idaho St. W 62-49 81%     1 - 0 +4.1 -10.4 +15.5
  Nov 27, 2020 228   UC Davis W 66-63 73%     2 - 0 -3.1 -18.1 +14.7
  Nov 28, 2020 186   Nicholls St. W 73-57 64%     3 - 0 +12.5 -4.5 +16.4
  Dec 02, 2020 147   Cal St. Bakersfield W 53-47 54%     4 - 0 +5.2 -15.8 +21.2
  Dec 09, 2020 332   @ Cal Poly W 76-69 87%     5 - 0 -4.7 -0.2 -4.4
  Dec 22, 2020 69   Colorado St. L 57-70 27%     5 - 1 -6.5 -19.0 +13.7
  Dec 29, 2020 22   @ USC L 63-86 9%     5 - 2 -7.7 -7.6 +1.8
  Jan 09, 2021 76   @ St. Mary's W 66-64 20%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +11.1 +0.9 +10.2
  Jan 14, 2021 140   @ Pacific L 58-79 38%     6 - 3 1 - 1 -17.7 -7.2 -11.9
  Jan 17, 2021 196   @ San Diego W 69-63 55%     7 - 3 2 - 1 +5.0 -7.8 +12.3
  Jan 21, 2021 84   San Francisco L 50-73 32%     7 - 4 2 - 2 -17.9 -18.0 -0.7
  Jan 23, 2021 128   @ Loyola Marymount W 72-69 34%     8 - 4 3 - 2 +7.5 +5.7 +1.9
  Jan 28, 2021 140   Pacific W 66-65 56%    
  Jan 30, 2021 303   @ Portland W 77-69 72%    
  Feb 04, 2021 76   @ St. Mary's L 59-68 17%    
  Feb 06, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 67-93 0.5%   
  Feb 11, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 68-91 2%    
  Feb 13, 2021 303   Portland W 78-67 87%    
  Feb 18, 2021 196   San Diego W 72-67 70%    
  Feb 20, 2021 133   Pepperdine L 73-74 52%    
  Feb 25, 2021 34   @ BYU L 64-77 9%    
  Feb 27, 2021 84   @ San Francisco L 65-73 19%    
Projected Record 12 - 10 7 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.7 5.8 1.4 0.1 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 3.1 11.2 2.3 0.0 16.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 13.7 5.7 0.1 20.9 5th
6th 0.5 9.0 10.9 0.4 0.0 20.8 6th
7th 0.1 4.3 10.8 1.5 16.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 6.1 2.6 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 0.9 0.0 2.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.4 3.2 11.7 23.8 29.3 21.1 8.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

With games being cancelled frequently this season, the conference records below may not be accurate. The number of wins in the table below are based on games that are currently scheduled and appear in the schedule above.
Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.2% 20.6% 1.4% 19.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 19.4%
10-6 1.9% 3.2% 0.5% 2.7% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 2.7%
9-7 8.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 0.2%
8-8 21.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.0 0.0%
7-9 29.3% 0.1% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.3
6-10 23.8% 0.0% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 23.8
5-11 11.7% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 11.7
4-12 3.2% 3.2
3-13 0.4% 0.4
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%