Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#45
Expected Predictive Rating+12.6#40
Pace69.2#200
Improvement-0.8#216

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#35
First Shot+8.4#15
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#256
Layup/Dunks+3.8#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#146
Freethrows+3.9#10
Improvement-0.2#179

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#65
First Shot+4.0#61
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#167
Layups/Dunks+1.8#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#199
Freethrows+2.0#60
Improvement-0.6#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 2.1% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 3.8% 11.8% 2.3%
Top 6 Seed 14.4% 34.8% 10.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 60.6% 84.5% 55.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 57.7% 82.7% 53.1%
Average Seed 8.4 7.3 8.8
.500 or above 85.8% 97.0% 83.6%
.500 or above in Conference 84.6% 96.5% 82.3%
Conference Champion 9.4% 24.9% 6.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.3% 5.3% 8.8%
First Round56.4% 81.4% 51.4%
Second Round29.3% 44.2% 26.4%
Sweet Sixteen9.9% 17.3% 8.4%
Elite Eight3.4% 6.3% 2.9%
Final Four1.1% 1.9% 0.9%
Championship Game0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.5% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Away) - 16.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 7
Quad 24 - 48 - 10
Quad 35 - 113 - 12
Quad 42 - 015 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 35   @ Louisville L 70-71 42%     0 - 1 +12.3 +1.9 +10.4
  Nov 30, 2020 190   Iona W 86-64 91%     1 - 1 +18.0 +11.1 +6.9
  Dec 02, 2020 64   @ Rhode Island L 63-76 53%     1 - 2 -2.7 -1.4 -1.7
  Dec 04, 2020 21   Oregon L 70-83 38%     1 - 3 +1.3 +2.9 -1.5
  Dec 06, 2020 53   @ Penn St. W 98-92 OT 47%     2 - 3 +17.8 +14.0 +3.0
  Dec 08, 2020 292   Wagner W 78-45 96%     3 - 3 +23.4 +1.4 +22.9
  Dec 11, 2020 82   St. John's W 77-68 72%     4 - 3 1 - 0 +14.2 +3.8 +10.1
  Dec 17, 2020 54   @ Marquette W 70-63 48%     5 - 3 2 - 0 +18.6 +4.2 +14.6
  Dec 20, 2020 59   Providence L 77-80 OT 62%     5 - 4 2 - 1 +4.9 +2.9 +2.1
  Dec 23, 2020 114   Georgetown W 78-67 79%     6 - 4 3 - 1 +13.5 +2.6 +10.4
  Dec 30, 2020 48   @ Xavier W 85-68 44%     7 - 4 4 - 1 +29.6 +20.2 +9.8
  Jan 02, 2021 92   Butler W 68-60 75%     8 - 4 5 - 1 +12.1 +8.0 +5.2
  Jan 06, 2021 11   @ Creighton L 53-89 25%     8 - 5 5 - 2 -17.8 -11.1 -7.6
  Jan 09, 2021 91   @ DePaul W 76-68 64%     9 - 5 6 - 2 +15.5 +7.4 +8.0
  Jan 19, 2021 4   @ Villanova L 67-76 16%    
  Jan 22, 2021 92   @ Butler W 68-64 59%    
  Jan 27, 2021 11   Creighton L 73-77 41%    
  Jan 30, 2021 4   Villanova L 69-74 36%    
  Feb 03, 2021 59   @ Providence L 72-73 44%    
  Feb 06, 2021 24   @ Connecticut L 67-71 31%    
  Feb 14, 2021 54   Marquette W 75-72 64%    
  Feb 17, 2021 91   DePaul W 76-69 78%    
  Feb 20, 2021 114   @ Georgetown W 76-71 65%    
  Mar 03, 2021 24   Connecticut L 68-69 52%    
  Mar 06, 2021 82   @ St. John's W 79-76 54%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 11 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.6 3.5 2.9 1.0 0.1 9.4 1st
2nd 1.3 5.7 8.5 4.6 0.8 0.1 21.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.2 8.9 11.8 3.9 0.2 27.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 8.4 9.2 2.7 0.2 22.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.6 4.9 1.2 0.0 11.7 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 2.6 0.7 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.4 2.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.1 1.2 4.5 9.6 16.2 20.6 20.4 14.2 8.4 3.7 1.1 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-4 92.5% 1.0    0.9 0.1
15-5 78.9% 2.9    1.8 1.1 0.0
14-6 42.1% 3.5    1.2 1.9 0.4
13-7 11.6% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1
12-8 1.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.4% 9.4 4.3 3.8 1.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 19.2% 80.8% 2.6 0.0 0.1 100.0%
16-4 1.1% 100.0% 31.6% 68.4% 3.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.7% 100.0% 17.8% 82.2% 4.7 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 100.0%
14-6 8.4% 100.0% 13.3% 86.7% 6.0 0.3 0.7 1.8 2.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-7 14.2% 97.9% 9.8% 88.1% 7.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.4 3.8 3.7 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.3 97.7%
12-8 20.4% 86.3% 6.4% 79.9% 9.2 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.1 1.2 0.1 2.8 85.3%
11-9 20.6% 59.4% 4.2% 55.2% 10.9 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 2.0 3.4 4.0 0.8 0.0 8.4 57.6%
10-10 16.2% 19.6% 4.5% 15.1% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 13.0 15.8%
9-11 9.6% 3.9% 2.1% 1.8% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 9.2 1.9%
8-12 4.5% 1.3% 1.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 4.4
7-13 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 1.2
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 60.6% 6.7% 53.9% 8.4 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 4.1 6.5 8.1 8.7 6.8 7.0 7.2 6.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 39.4 57.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 2.5 51.3 48.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 3.0 100.0