South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-19.4#345
Expected Predictive Rating-23.4#346
Pace75.2#53
Improvement+1.6#77

Offense
Total Offense-10.7#343
First Shot-7.6#333
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#309
Layup/Dunks-7.5#343
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#201
Freethrows-2.5#304
Improvement-0.3#196

Defense
Total Defense-8.7#340
First Shot-5.4#322
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#330
Layups/Dunks-5.9#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#33
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#151
Freethrows-2.4#300
Improvement+1.9#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.1% 0.0% 40.5%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Away) - 13.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 42 - 122 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 193   Appalachian St. L 65-79 8%     0 - 1 -18.0 -6.2 -12.8
  Nov 28, 2020 109   @ Bowling Green L 78-101 2%     0 - 2 -17.2 -6.8 -6.5
  Dec 02, 2020 25   @ Clemson L 38-75 0.4%    0 - 3 -21.6 -22.3 -0.5
  Dec 05, 2020 217   @ UNC Asheville L 56-77 6%     0 - 4 -23.1 -21.9 -0.1
  Dec 07, 2020 160   @ Charlotte L 40-78 4%     0 - 5 -36.4 -28.6 -9.8
  Dec 11, 2020 200   @ College of Charleston L 63-90 6%     0 - 6 -28.3 -14.0 -13.3
  Dec 13, 2020 290   Jacksonville L 58-60 17%     0 - 7 -11.4 -14.4 +2.8
  Dec 15, 2020 105   @ Liberty L 52-82 2%     0 - 8 -24.0 -16.5 -8.5
  Dec 18, 2020 340   @ Presbyterian L 56-62 25%     0 - 9 -18.2 -19.2 +0.7
  Dec 21, 2020 83   @ Furman L 52-118 1%     0 - 10 -57.7 -22.3 -30.9
  Jan 02, 2021 318   N.C. A&T L 86-97 24%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -23.0 +3.4 -26.0
  Jan 03, 2021 318   N.C. A&T L 66-73 24%     0 - 12 0 - 2 -19.0 -20.5 +2.3
  Jan 10, 2021 280   @ Florida A&M L 68-70 11%     0 - 13 0 - 3 -7.8 -14.6 +7.0
  Feb 06, 2021 318   @ N.C. A&T L 71-82 13%    
  Feb 07, 2021 318   @ N.C. A&T L 71-82 13%    
  Feb 13, 2021 238   @ NC Central L 62-78 5%    
  Feb 14, 2021 238   @ NC Central L 62-78 6%    
  Feb 20, 2021 238   NC Central L 64-77 15%    
  Feb 21, 2021 238   NC Central L 64-77 15%    
  Feb 27, 2021 280   Florida A&M L 67-77 20%    
  Feb 28, 2021 280   Florida A&M L 67-77 21%    
Projected Record 1 - 20 1 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.4 1.8 1.2 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.9 5.7 3.7 0.5 10.8 7th
8th 6.9 18.9 10.8 1.7 0.1 38.4 8th
9th 28.1 15.2 2.5 0.1 45.9 9th
10th 10th
Total 35.1 35.0 19.4 7.5 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 0.0% 0.0
6-10 0.1% 0.1
5-11 0.5% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-12 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-13 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
2-14 19.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.4
1-15 35.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 35.0
0-16 35.1% 35.1
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 21.6%