South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#92
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#126
Pace80.8#11
Improvement-1.7#267

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#84
First Shot+1.3#142
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#56
Layup/Dunks-0.3#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#145
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement+0.4#130

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#111
First Shot-0.5#181
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#22
Layups/Dunks+2.5#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#128
Freethrows-3.1#320
Improvement-2.2#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 5.2% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.2% 4.5% 1.0%
Average Seed 10.8 10.6 11.9
.500 or above 13.7% 19.1% 4.7%
.500 or above in Conference 4.8% 7.2% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.4% 9.3% 25.6%
First Four1.5% 2.0% 0.6%
First Round2.8% 3.9% 1.0%
Second Round1.0% 1.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Home) - 62.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 7
Quad 23 - 43 - 11
Quad 33 - 27 - 13
Quad 41 - 08 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 121   Liberty L 62-78 59%     0 - 1 -12.6 -3.9 -10.1
  Nov 29, 2020 86   Tulsa W 69-58 48%     1 - 1 +17.4 -3.8 +20.2
  Dec 05, 2020 6   @ Houston L 67-77 11%     1 - 2 +9.5 +4.9 +4.6
  Jan 02, 2021 285   Florida A&M W 78-71 92%     2 - 2 -2.4 -5.5 +2.4
  Jan 06, 2021 123   Texas A&M W 78-54 67%     3 - 2 1 - 0 +25.2 +5.6 +18.6
  Jan 16, 2021 41   @ LSU L 80-85 23%     3 - 3 1 - 1 +8.4 +1.7 +7.2
  Jan 19, 2021 42   @ Missouri L 70-81 24%     3 - 4 1 - 2 +2.2 +3.0 -0.4
  Jan 23, 2021 57   Auburn L 86-109 41%     3 - 5 1 - 3 -14.7 +2.4 -13.3
  Jan 27, 2021 97   Georgia W 85-83 63%    
  Jan 30, 2021 146   @ Vanderbilt W 81-78 57%    
  Feb 03, 2021 22   @ Florida L 74-84 15%    
  Feb 06, 2021 76   Mississippi St. W 75-74 56%    
  Feb 09, 2021 7   Alabama L 80-90 22%    
  Feb 13, 2021 62   Mississippi L 72-74 47%    
  Feb 16, 2021 13   @ Tennessee L 65-77 12%    
  Feb 20, 2021 42   Missouri L 73-77 41%    
  Feb 24, 2021 76   @ Mississippi St. L 73-76 33%    
  Feb 27, 2021 97   @ Georgia L 83-85 40%    
  Mar 02, 2021 39   Arkansas L 80-84 39%    
Projected Record 7 - 12 5 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 3rd
4th 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 1.4 0.1 2.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 0.9 3.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 2.9 0.2 5.1 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 5.0 1.2 7.7 9th
10th 0.8 6.2 4.6 0.2 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 5.9 8.1 1.2 16.1 11th
12th 0.0 1.4 7.7 10.3 2.7 0.1 22.3 12th
13th 0.1 2.4 7.6 8.5 2.8 0.2 21.5 13th
14th 1.2 3.1 2.3 0.7 0.0 7.3 14th
Total 1.3 5.5 11.3 17.7 19.9 18.6 13.2 7.7 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.3% 100.0% 3.3% 96.7% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
10-8 1.1% 75.1% 3.7% 71.4% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 74.2%
9-9 3.5% 39.6% 2.8% 36.8% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.1 37.9%
8-10 7.7% 10.7% 1.8% 8.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.8 9.0%
7-11 13.2% 1.6% 0.6% 0.9% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.0 1.0%
6-12 18.6% 0.8% 0.8% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 18.5
5-13 19.9% 0.3% 0.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 19.8
4-14 17.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.1 0.0 17.7
3-15 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.3
2-16 5.5% 5.5
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 0.7% 3.2% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 96.2 3.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%