TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#312
Expected Predictive Rating-16.6#336
Pace67.4#243
Improvement-2.3#293

Offense
Total Offense-7.6#328
First Shot-5.8#303
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#264
Layup/Dunks-4.8#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#189
Freethrows-0.3#191
Improvement-1.3#269

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#231
First Shot-2.3#241
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#164
Layups/Dunks-1.9#236
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#104
Freethrows-3.0#314
Improvement-1.0#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.9% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 2.1% 4.8% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 15.7% 29.6% 8.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.1% 7.7% 25.4%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Away) - 35.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 41 - 8
Quad 45 - 76 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 151   Texas St. L 63-75 20%     0 - 1 -13.0 -8.9 -4.2
  Nov 30, 2020 59   @ SMU L 54-91 4%     0 - 2 -25.8 -21.3 +0.0
  Dec 02, 2020 215   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 59-62 23%     0 - 3 -4.9 -11.5 +6.5
  Dec 10, 2020 215   UT Rio Grande Valley L 64-68 34%     0 - 4 -9.4 -14.2 +5.1
  Dec 12, 2020 16   Texas Tech L 57-77 2%     0 - 5 -4.7 -1.1 -5.7
  Dec 15, 2020 151   @ Texas St. L 46-51 13%     0 - 6 -2.5 -14.1 +10.4
  Jan 13, 2021 321   @ SE Louisiana L 63-76 50%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -22.7 -15.4 -7.0
  Jan 20, 2021 303   @ New Orleans L 69-72 36%    
  Jan 23, 2021 323   @ Incarnate Word W 66-65 47%    
  Jan 27, 2021 183   Sam Houston St. L 67-73 33%    
  Jan 30, 2021 330   Houston Baptist W 77-72 71%    
  Feb 01, 2021 119   Abilene Christian L 56-68 17%    
  Feb 06, 2021 323   Incarnate Word W 68-64 68%    
  Feb 10, 2021 160   @ Stephen F. Austin L 63-75 12%    
  Feb 13, 2021 119   @ Abilene Christian L 55-70 7%    
  Feb 17, 2021 321   SE Louisiana W 69-66 66%    
  Feb 20, 2021 306   Lamar W 67-66 58%    
  Feb 24, 2021 303   New Orleans W 71-70 57%    
  Mar 03, 2021 183   @ Sam Houston St. L 65-75 17%    
  Mar 06, 2021 330   @ Houston Baptist W 75-74 50%    
Projected Record 5 - 15 5 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.2 2.4 4th
5th 0.7 3.4 2.6 0.5 7.3 5th
6th 0.5 4.0 3.7 0.7 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.8 5.7 1.3 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.9 6.7 2.9 0.2 10.7 8th
9th 0.2 4.9 6.0 0.5 11.5 9th
10th 0.1 2.4 7.8 1.8 0.0 12.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.5 6.8 4.2 0.2 12.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.9 6.4 5.4 0.5 0.0 14.5 12th
13th 0.3 1.6 3.5 3.2 0.7 0.0 9.3 13th
Total 0.4 1.9 5.4 11.1 15.5 18.3 17.9 13.8 8.9 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 10.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 1.0% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.5% 9.2% 9.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.4
10-6 1.8% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.7
9-7 4.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 4.3
8-8 8.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 8.8
7-9 13.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.7
6-10 17.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.9
5-11 18.3% 18.3
4-12 15.5% 15.5
3-13 11.1% 11.1
2-14 5.4% 5.4
1-15 1.9% 1.9
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%