IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-15.7	#342
Expected Predictive Rating	-11.1	#312

Pace	70.0	#173
Improvement	-5.1	#342

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#295

First Shot	-5.3	#302
After Offensive Rebound	+0.5	#147

Layup/Dunks	-3.0	#280
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.2	#172
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.2	#250
Freethrows	+0.1	#177

Improvement	-3.1	#328

Defense
Total Defense	-10.9	#346

First Shot	-9.6	#345
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.3	#267

Layups/Dunks	-0.8	#199
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.8	#115
3 Pt Jumpshots	-8.7	#346
Freethrows	-0.9	#234

Improvement	-2.0	#293

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	73.9%	58.5%	82.9%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Home) - 37.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 8
Quad 4	4 - 10	4 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 02, 2020	239	Evansville	W	93-87 2OT	20%	1 - 0			-0.9	+0.4	-2.4
Dec 18, 2020	304	@ Southeast Missouri St.	W	69-67	21%	2 - 0	1 - 0		-5.3	-2.2	-3.0
Dec 20, 2020	319	Western Illinois	L	63-81	38%	2 - 1			-30.5	-17.1	-13.2
Dec 22, 2020	62	@ Mississippi	L	43-90	1%	2 - 2			-35.8	-22.9	-12.1
Dec 30, 2020	184	@ Jacksonville St.	L	70-80	8%	2 - 3	1 - 1		-9.9	-3.1	-6.9
Jan 02, 2021	87	Belmont	L	69-90	4%	2 - 4	1 - 2		-16.6	-7.6	-7.9
Jan 07, 2021	294	@ Tennessee St.	L	62-74	19%	2 - 5	1 - 3		-18.4	-9.3	-9.0
Jan 09, 2021	87	@ Belmont	L	69-89	2%	2 - 6	1 - 4		-11.9	-5.2	-5.8
Jan 16, 2021	169	Murray St.	L	57-79	11%	2 - 7	1 - 5		-24.4	-15.1	-9.9
Jan 21, 2021	151	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	73-113	6%	2 - 8	1 - 6		-37.5	-2.6	-31.7
Jan 23, 2021	185	@ Morehead St.	L	44-76	8%	2 - 9	1 - 7		-32.0	-25.9	-5.6
Jan 26, 2021	304	Southeast Missouri St.	L	70-75	37%
Jan 28, 2021	248	Eastern Illinois	L	71-79	24%
Jan 30, 2021	317	SIU Edwardsville	L	73-76	42%
Feb 04, 2021	184	Jacksonville St.	L	67-79	16%
Feb 06, 2021	303	Tennessee Tech	L	72-77	37%
Feb 11, 2021	207	@ Austin Peay	L	69-83	8%
Feb 13, 2021	169	@ Murray St.	L	65-82	5%
Feb 18, 2021	185	Morehead St.	L	62-74	15%
Feb 20, 2021	151	Eastern Kentucky	L	73-87	11%
Feb 25, 2021	317	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	71-78	23%
Feb 27, 2021	248	@ Eastern Illinois	L	69-81	12%
Projected Record						4 - 18	3 - 16

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st																								1st
2nd																								2nd
3rd																								3rd
4th																								4th
5th									0.0	0.0	0.0												0.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.1	0.1													0.2	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0													1.4	7th
8th					0.0	0.6	2.2	0.8	0.1														3.7	8th
9th					0.4	3.2	2.4	0.1	0.0														6.1	9th
10th				0.4	4.4	5.5	0.8	0.0															11.1	10th
11th			0.9	7.9	11.0	2.5	0.1																22.3	11th
12th		10.2	21.1	18.7	5.0	0.2																	55.2	12th

Total		10.2	21.9	27.0	20.8	12.1	5.8	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0													Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10	0.0%																							0.0
9-11	0.1%																							0.1
8-12	0.5%																							0.5
7-13	1.7%																							1.7
6-14	5.8%																							5.8
5-15	12.1%																							12.1
4-16	20.8%																							20.8
3-17	27.0%																							27.0
2-18	21.9%																							21.9
1-19	10.2%																							10.2
0-20

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	10.2%