Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.7#342
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#312
Pace70.0#173
Improvement-5.1#342

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#295
First Shot-5.3#302
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#147
Layup/Dunks-3.0#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#250
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement-3.1#328

Defense
Total Defense-10.9#346
First Shot-9.6#345
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#267
Layups/Dunks-0.8#199
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.7#346
Freethrows-0.9#234
Improvement-2.0#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 73.9% 58.5% 82.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southeast Missouri St. (Home) - 37.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 44 - 104 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 239   Evansville W 93-87 2OT 20%     1 - 0 -0.9 +0.4 -2.4
  Dec 18, 2020 304   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 69-67 21%     2 - 0 1 - 0 -5.3 -2.2 -3.0
  Dec 20, 2020 319   Western Illinois L 63-81 38%     2 - 1 -30.5 -17.1 -13.2
  Dec 22, 2020 62   @ Mississippi L 43-90 1%     2 - 2 -35.8 -22.9 -12.1
  Dec 30, 2020 184   @ Jacksonville St. L 70-80 8%     2 - 3 1 - 1 -9.9 -3.1 -6.9
  Jan 02, 2021 87   Belmont L 69-90 4%     2 - 4 1 - 2 -16.6 -7.6 -7.9
  Jan 07, 2021 294   @ Tennessee St. L 62-74 19%     2 - 5 1 - 3 -18.4 -9.3 -9.0
  Jan 09, 2021 87   @ Belmont L 69-89 2%     2 - 6 1 - 4 -11.9 -5.2 -5.8
  Jan 16, 2021 169   Murray St. L 57-79 11%     2 - 7 1 - 5 -24.4 -15.1 -9.9
  Jan 21, 2021 151   @ Eastern Kentucky L 73-113 6%     2 - 8 1 - 6 -37.5 -2.6 -31.7
  Jan 23, 2021 185   @ Morehead St. L 44-76 8%     2 - 9 1 - 7 -32.0 -25.9 -5.6
  Jan 26, 2021 304   Southeast Missouri St. L 70-75 37%    
  Jan 28, 2021 248   Eastern Illinois L 71-79 24%    
  Jan 30, 2021 317   SIU Edwardsville L 73-76 42%    
  Feb 04, 2021 184   Jacksonville St. L 67-79 16%    
  Feb 06, 2021 303   Tennessee Tech L 72-77 37%    
  Feb 11, 2021 207   @ Austin Peay L 69-83 8%    
  Feb 13, 2021 169   @ Murray St. L 65-82 5%    
  Feb 18, 2021 185   Morehead St. L 62-74 15%    
  Feb 20, 2021 151   Eastern Kentucky L 73-87 11%    
  Feb 25, 2021 317   @ SIU Edwardsville L 71-78 23%    
  Feb 27, 2021 248   @ Eastern Illinois L 69-81 12%    
Projected Record 4 - 18 3 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.2 0.8 0.1 3.7 8th
9th 0.4 3.2 2.4 0.1 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.4 4.4 5.5 0.8 0.0 11.1 10th
11th 0.9 7.9 11.0 2.5 0.1 22.3 11th
12th 10.2 21.1 18.7 5.0 0.2 55.2 12th
Total 10.2 21.9 27.0 20.8 12.1 5.8 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.1% 0.1
8-12 0.5% 0.5
7-13 1.7% 1.7
6-14 5.8% 5.8
5-15 12.1% 12.1
4-16 20.8% 20.8
3-17 27.0% 27.0
2-18 21.9% 21.9
1-19 10.2% 10.2
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.2%