Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#309
Expected Predictive Rating-14.9#332
Pace71.5#132
Improvement+0.6#131

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#309
First Shot-4.9#292
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#229
Layup/Dunks-1.6#233
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#178
Freethrows-1.8#284
Improvement+2.7#34

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#285
First Shot-5.2#315
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#87
Layups/Dunks-3.9#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#274
Freethrows+1.1#125
Improvement-2.1#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 2.9% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 21.0% 12.2% 31.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Home) - 54.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 12
Quad 45 - 105 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 31   @ Indiana L 59-89 2%     0 - 1 -15.9 -9.2 -5.2
  Nov 30, 2020 172   Chattanooga L 54-62 26%     0 - 2 -10.8 -24.7 +14.2
  Dec 02, 2020 47   @ Xavier L 48-79 3%     0 - 3 -18.4 -15.0 -5.8
  Dec 03, 2020 225   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-74 24%     0 - 4 -11.4 -6.1 -5.6
  Dec 06, 2020 180   @ Western Carolina L 75-76 OT 18%     0 - 5 -0.8 -10.7 +10.0
  Dec 13, 2020 205   Jacksonville St. L 67-73 32%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -10.8 -4.1 -6.9
  Dec 16, 2020 205   @ Jacksonville St. L 50-74 21%     0 - 7 0 - 2 -25.3 -23.7 -1.0
  Dec 18, 2020 5   @ Tennessee L 49-103 1%     0 - 8 -34.6 -14.2 -18.5
  Dec 22, 2020 87   @ Western Kentucky L 68-88 6%     0 - 9 -11.9 -4.4 -6.7
  Dec 30, 2020 308   Southeast Missouri St. W 72-63 56%     1 - 9 1 - 2 -2.2 -9.2 +6.6
  Jan 02, 2021 236   @ Eastern Illinois L 81-87 26%     1 - 10 1 - 3 -8.9 +1.2 -9.8
  Jan 07, 2021 195   @ Morehead St. L 54-57 20%     1 - 11 1 - 4 -3.9 -10.8 +6.6
  Jan 09, 2021 163   @ Eastern Kentucky L 80-90 14%     1 - 12 1 - 5 -8.2 +4.9 -12.4
  Jan 14, 2021 98   Belmont L 67-88 12%     1 - 13 1 - 6 -17.6 -10.9 -5.4
  Jan 16, 2021 290   Tennessee St. L 67-68 55%    
  Jan 21, 2021 185   @ Austin Peay L 68-77 16%    
  Jan 23, 2021 156   @ Murray St. L 63-75 11%    
  Jan 28, 2021 163   Eastern Kentucky L 71-79 26%    
  Jan 30, 2021 195   Morehead St. L 63-68 35%    
  Feb 04, 2021 308   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 68-70 38%    
  Feb 06, 2021 338   @ Tennessee Martin W 75-72 55%    
  Feb 11, 2021 305   SIU Edwardsville W 71-70 59%    
  Feb 13, 2021 236   Eastern Illinois L 71-74 43%    
  Feb 18, 2021 290   @ Tennessee St. L 66-70 33%    
  Feb 20, 2021 98   @ Belmont L 68-84 5%    
  Feb 25, 2021 185   Austin Peay L 69-75 33%    
  Feb 27, 2021 156   Murray St. L 65-73 26%    
Projected Record 5 - 22 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 3.5 6th
7th 0.5 3.2 3.9 1.4 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 5.6 7.0 2.4 0.2 16.4 8th
9th 1.1 6.9 9.0 2.9 0.3 0.0 20.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 6.6 9.0 3.1 0.3 0.0 20.1 10th
11th 1.0 6.0 8.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 18.8 11th
12th 0.9 3.6 4.4 1.5 0.1 10.5 12th
Total 0.9 4.6 11.4 17.6 20.2 18.6 13.6 7.8 3.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.4% 0.4
10-10 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
9-11 3.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.6
8-12 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.8
7-13 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.6
6-14 18.6% 18.6
5-15 20.2% 20.2
4-16 17.6% 17.6
3-17 11.4% 11.4
2-18 4.6% 4.6
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%