Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#122
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#92
Pace62.2#331
Improvement-0.8#220

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#194
First Shot-2.0#226
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#111
Layup/Dunks-0.4#184
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#263
Freethrows+0.6#142
Improvement-1.0#239

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#61
First Shot+3.2#73
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#103
Layups/Dunks+3.8#62
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#335
Freethrows+4.9#2
Improvement+0.1#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 3.6% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 3.4% 0.3%
Average Seed 10.8 10.6 11.3
.500 or above 22.3% 40.7% 17.9%
.500 or above in Conference 3.2% 10.0% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 18.5% 5.4% 21.6%
First Four0.4% 1.2% 0.1%
First Round0.9% 2.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.2% 1.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 19.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 9
Quad 23 - 34 - 12
Quad 33 - 26 - 14
Quad 45 - 011 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 29, 2020 292   New Orleans W 82-53 89%     1 - 0 +19.2 +0.7 +17.7
  Dec 02, 2020 327   Tarleton St. W 73-66 94%     2 - 0 -7.1 -12.4 +4.8
  Dec 06, 2020 219   UT Rio Grande Valley W 81-68 80%     3 - 0 +7.4 +5.8 +1.3
  Dec 12, 2020 100   TCU L 55-73 45%     3 - 1 -13.2 -13.3 -0.6
  Dec 15, 2020 323   SE Louisiana W 69-52 93%     4 - 1 +3.8 -3.2 +8.9
  Dec 21, 2020 121   Wofford W 70-52 57%     5 - 1 +19.6 +6.8 +15.5
  Dec 29, 2020 30   @ LSU L 54-77 15%     5 - 2 0 - 1 -8.7 -10.6 -0.6
  Jan 02, 2021 64   Auburn W 68-66 37%     6 - 2 1 - 1 +8.9 -2.4 +11.3
  Jan 06, 2021 68   @ South Carolina L 54-78 27%     6 - 3 1 - 2 -14.1 -15.8 +2.7
  Jan 09, 2021 13   Tennessee L 54-68 16%     6 - 4 1 - 3 -0.1 +2.1 -5.3
  Jan 13, 2021 75   @ Mississippi St. W 56-55 30%     7 - 4 2 - 3 +9.9 -1.9 +12.0
  Jan 16, 2021 38   Missouri L 52-68 27%     7 - 5 2 - 4 -6.2 -10.5 +3.0
  Jan 23, 2021 63   @ Mississippi L 58-66 19%    
  Jan 26, 2021 30   LSU L 67-74 29%    
  Jan 30, 2021 151   @ Kansas St. W 62-61 48%    
  Feb 03, 2021 138   Vanderbilt W 68-65 66%    
  Feb 06, 2021 45   @ Arkansas L 64-73 17%    
  Feb 10, 2021 95   Georgia L 68-69 54%    
  Feb 13, 2021 22   @ Florida L 60-72 12%    
  Feb 17, 2021 7   Alabama L 64-76 15%    
  Feb 20, 2021 45   Arkansas L 65-71 34%    
  Feb 23, 2021 61   @ Kentucky L 57-65 21%    
  Feb 27, 2021 38   @ Missouri L 58-68 15%    
  Mar 03, 2021 75   Mississippi St. L 62-64 48%    
Projected Record 11 - 13 5 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.3 3rd
4th 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 4th
5th 0.2 0.7 0.1 1.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.0 6th
7th 0.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 3.5 7th
8th 0.3 3.0 2.1 0.1 5.5 8th
9th 0.0 2.3 5.5 0.6 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 6.4 3.6 11.2 10th
11th 0.6 5.9 7.7 0.9 15.1 11th
12th 0.4 6.3 10.6 3.4 0.1 20.8 12th
13th 0.8 6.3 10.7 4.8 0.3 23.0 13th
14th 2.3 4.3 1.6 0.3 8.5 14th
Total 3.1 11.1 19.2 22.8 20.5 13.7 6.4 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.3% 75.0% 75.0% 9.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 75.0%
10-8 0.7% 41.5% 5.8% 35.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 37.9%
9-9 2.3% 13.8% 13.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 13.8%
8-10 6.4% 2.5% 0.0% 2.4% 12.3 0.1 0.0 6.2 2.4%
7-11 13.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 13.6 0.0%
6-12 20.5% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 20.4
5-13 22.8% 22.8
4-14 19.2% 19.2
3-15 11.1% 11.1
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 0.1% 0.9% 10.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 98.9 0.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%