Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#99
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#139
Pace72.1#116
Improvement-1.4#246

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#80
First Shot+4.1#70
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#175
Layup/Dunks+1.2#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#39
Freethrows+0.2#170
Improvement-0.1#178

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#149
First Shot-2.0#234
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#20
Layups/Dunks-6.1#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#31
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#154
Freethrows+1.0#120
Improvement-1.3#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 1.1% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.8 11.4 12.5
.500 or above 6.4% 14.1% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 2.5% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 32.9% 16.0% 40.0%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 29.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 7
Quad 23 - 63 - 12
Quad 32 - 15 - 14
Quad 42 - 07 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 344   Delaware St. W 111-51 98%     1 - 0 +40.0 +12.8 +19.8
  Nov 27, 2020 282   Longwood W 71-60 90%     2 - 0 +1.7 -4.8 +6.8
  Jan 03, 2021 44   @ Georgia Tech L 54-70 23%     2 - 1 0 - 1 -3.2 -13.7 +10.5
  Jan 06, 2021 6   @ Virginia L 61-70 10%     2 - 2 0 - 2 +10.5 +8.9 -0.2
  Jan 09, 2021 55   @ Duke L 68-79 25%     2 - 3 0 - 3 +1.0 +5.3 -5.1
  Jan 13, 2021 38   Louisville L 65-77 31%     2 - 4 0 - 4 -2.0 -0.8 -1.6
  Jan 17, 2021 56   Virginia Tech L 60-64 36%     2 - 5 0 - 5 +4.6 -3.3 +7.5
  Jan 20, 2021 26   @ North Carolina L 73-80 18%     2 - 6 0 - 6 +7.6 +1.1 +7.1
  Jan 23, 2021 65   Pittsburgh W 76-75 42%     3 - 6 1 - 6 +8.1 +8.4 -0.3
  Jan 27, 2021 72   @ North Carolina St. L 74-78 30%    
  Jan 30, 2021 102   Miami (FL) W 73-71 62%    
  Feb 02, 2021 70   @ Notre Dame L 74-79 29%    
  Feb 10, 2021 109   @ Boston College L 77-78 41%    
  Feb 13, 2021 11   @ Florida St. L 71-84 10%    
  Feb 16, 2021 55   Duke L 74-78 42%    
  Feb 20, 2021 72   North Carolina St. L 76-77 51%    
  Feb 23, 2021 61   Clemson L 68-71 43%    
  Feb 27, 2021 56   @ Virginia Tech L 67-74 23%    
  Mar 02, 2021 65   @ Pittsburgh L 71-76 27%    
  Mar 05, 2021 44   Georgia Tech L 72-76 38%    
Projected Record 7 - 13 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 0.8 0.0 2.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.3 0.3 3.3 8th
9th 0.2 2.9 1.6 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.9 4.6 0.4 6.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 6.2 2.4 0.0 9.5 11th
12th 0.5 5.8 6.3 0.4 0.0 13.0 12th
13th 0.5 5.4 9.5 2.2 0.0 17.6 13th
14th 0.9 6.0 10.5 4.0 0.2 21.5 14th
15th 1.7 6.2 7.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 18.8 15th
Total 1.7 7.1 14.0 19.5 20.5 17.0 11.1 5.9 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

With games being cancelled frequently this season, the conference records below may not be accurate. The number of wins in the table below are based on games that are currently scheduled and appear in the schedule above.
Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 90.0% 20.0% 70.0% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.5%
11-9 0.1% 58.2% 1.5% 56.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 57.6%
10-10 0.8% 26.0% 1.1% 24.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 25.2%
9-11 2.3% 6.5% 1.5% 4.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.2 5.0%
8-12 5.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.8 0.6%
7-13 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
6-14 17.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.9
5-15 20.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 20.5
4-16 19.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.5
3-17 14.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.0
2-18 7.1% 7.1
1-19 1.7% 1.7
0-20
Total 100% 0.7% 0.2% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3 0.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%