Washington St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#126
Expected Predictive Rating+7.5#79
Pace70.8#154
Improvement+0.8#125

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#219
First Shot-4.0#274
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#63
Layup/Dunks-0.8#203
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#169
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement+4.5#8

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#56
First Shot+4.0#62
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#117
Layups/Dunks+1.3#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#90
Freethrows+1.1#115
Improvement-3.8#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.4% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.7 11.4 13.2
.500 or above 48.8% 65.6% 34.7%
.500 or above in Conference 3.9% 8.0% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.2% 10.6% 28.3%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Home) - 45.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 8
Quad 21 - 32 - 11
Quad 34 - 26 - 13
Quad 48 - 014 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 247   Texas Southern W 56-52 83%     1 - 0 -3.3 -24.1 +20.6
  Nov 28, 2020 131   Eastern Washington W 71-68 58%     2 - 0 +3.8 -5.9 +9.6
  Dec 02, 2020 140   Oregon St. W 59-55 62%     3 - 0 1 - 0 +3.8 -14.5 +18.4
  Dec 09, 2020 335   Idaho W 61-58 95%     4 - 0 -12.4 -19.3 +7.0
  Dec 13, 2020 278   Portland St. W 69-60 87%     5 - 0 -0.1 -7.4 +7.3
  Dec 18, 2020 180   Montana St. W 82-54 73%     6 - 0 +24.5 +7.8 +16.5
  Dec 21, 2020 258   Prairie View W 90-62 84%     7 - 0 +20.1 +15.7 +4.3
  Dec 23, 2020 318   Northwestern St. W 62-52 92%     8 - 0 -2.8 -19.4 +16.4
  Jan 02, 2021 29   Arizona L 82-86 2OT 23%     8 - 1 1 - 1 +6.8 -3.0 +10.5
  Jan 07, 2021 136   @ California W 71-60 47%     9 - 1 2 - 1 +14.8 +1.8 +13.4
  Jan 09, 2021 50   @ Stanford L 60-75 19%     9 - 2 2 - 2 -2.7 -2.5 -0.7
  Jan 14, 2021 25   @ UCLA L 61-91 13%     9 - 3 2 - 3 -14.9 -5.4 -10.7
  Jan 16, 2021 24   @ USC L 77-85 13%     9 - 4 2 - 4 +7.2 +7.1 +0.7
  Jan 21, 2021 76   Utah L 65-67 46%    
  Jan 23, 2021 19   Colorado L 63-73 22%    
  Jan 27, 2021 19   @ Colorado L 62-75 9%    
  Jan 27, 2021 135   @ Washington L 70-71 41%    
  Feb 04, 2021 20   @ Oregon L 63-76 9%    
  Feb 06, 2021 140   @ Oregon St. L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 11, 2021 25   UCLA L 63-72 25%    
  Feb 13, 2021 24   USC L 63-72 25%    
  Feb 18, 2021 136   California W 67-64 64%    
  Feb 21, 2021 50   Stanford L 65-71 34%    
  Feb 25, 2021 29   @ Arizona L 65-76 12%    
  Feb 27, 2021 77   @ Arizona St. L 70-76 27%    
  Mar 06, 2021 135   Washington W 71-69 62%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 1.6 1.4 0.5 4.1 6th
7th 0.3 4.0 4.7 3.7 0.9 0.0 13.7 7th
8th 0.5 4.5 8.5 5.1 0.8 0.1 19.4 8th
9th 0.0 3.9 9.3 5.5 1.0 0.0 19.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.9 9.7 5.6 1.1 0.0 18.4 10th
11th 1.2 6.2 5.6 0.5 13.5 11th
12th 1.2 3.8 4.4 0.8 0.0 10.2 12th
Total 1.2 5.0 12.5 20.4 20.3 19.1 11.2 6.3 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.1 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 7.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
12-8 0.2% 50.0% 50.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 50.0%
11-9 1.0% 11.5% 3.8% 7.8% 10.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 8.1%
10-10 2.7% 7.3% 1.5% 5.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.9%
9-11 6.3% 3.0% 3.0% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.1 3.0%
8-12 11.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 11.2 0.0%
7-13 19.1% 0.4% 0.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 19.0
6-14 20.3% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 20.3
5-15 20.4% 20.4
4-16 12.5% 12.5
3-17 5.0% 5.0
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.8% 0.2% 0.5% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 99.2 0.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%