West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.9#17
Expected Predictive Rating+15.2#27
Pace71.6#133
Improvement-1.1#242

Offense
Total Offense+7.9#19
First Shot+2.9#101
After Offensive Rebound+5.0#8
Layup/Dunks-0.6#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#223
Freethrows+2.5#40
Improvement+0.1#165

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#23
First Shot+9.0#2
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#299
Layups/Dunks+1.4#138
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#97
Freethrows+2.4#39
Improvement-1.2#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
#1 Seed 3.7% 4.2% 0.7%
Top 2 Seed 11.6% 13.1% 3.3%
Top 4 Seed 37.4% 40.7% 18.8%
Top 6 Seed 60.3% 64.1% 39.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.4% 93.2% 81.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 90.8% 92.7% 80.6%
Average Seed 5.7 5.5 7.1
.500 or above 98.5% 99.3% 94.6%
.500 or above in Conference 42.4% 47.0% 16.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 1.0%
First Four5.5% 4.7% 9.9%
First Round89.2% 91.3% 77.6%
Second Round64.9% 67.5% 49.8%
Sweet Sixteen34.7% 36.8% 22.4%
Elite Eight15.8% 16.9% 9.3%
Final Four6.9% 7.4% 3.9%
Championship Game2.9% 3.1% 1.7%
National Champion1.2% 1.2% 0.7%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 84.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 25 - 8
Quad 25 - 19 - 9
Quad 35 - 015 - 9
Quad 42 - 017 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 102   South Dakota St. W 79-71 83%     1 - 0 +12.7 +4.7 +8.0
  Nov 26, 2020 72   Virginia Commonwealth W 78-66 76%     2 - 0 +19.4 +6.6 +12.1
  Nov 27, 2020 86   Western Kentucky W 70-64 78%     3 - 0 +12.6 +4.9 +8.1
  Dec 02, 2020 1   Gonzaga L 82-87 20%     3 - 1 +18.9 +5.7 +13.9
  Dec 06, 2020 108   @ Georgetown W 80-71 79%     4 - 1 +15.2 +7.8 +7.1
  Dec 11, 2020 90   North Texas W 62-50 84%     5 - 1 +16.1 -1.2 +18.4
  Dec 13, 2020 50   Richmond W 87-71 72%     6 - 1 +24.8 +9.6 +14.0
  Dec 18, 2020 111   Iowa St. W 70-65 87%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +7.4 -2.9 +10.3
  Dec 22, 2020 15   @ Kansas L 65-79 41%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +3.3 +11.7 -10.8
  Dec 29, 2020 146   Northeastern W 73-51 92%     8 - 2 +21.5 +3.6 +18.4
  Jan 02, 2021 21   @ Oklahoma L 71-75 47%     8 - 3 1 - 2 +11.6 +2.0 +9.7
  Jan 04, 2021 33   @ Oklahoma St. W 87-84 54%     9 - 3 2 - 2 +16.9 +15.9 +0.9
  Jan 09, 2021 10   Texas L 70-72 50%     9 - 4 2 - 3 +12.9 +4.7 +8.2
  Jan 23, 2021 150   @ Kansas St. W 75-63 85%    
  Jan 25, 2021 16   Texas Tech W 70-69 59%    
  Jan 30, 2021 22   Florida W 75-72 65%    
  Feb 02, 2021 111   @ Iowa St. W 79-70 76%    
  Feb 06, 2021 15   Kansas W 73-72 59%    
  Feb 09, 2021 16   @ Texas Tech L 69-71 37%    
  Feb 13, 2021 21   Oklahoma W 75-72 64%    
  Feb 15, 2021 2   Baylor L 70-76 33%    
  Feb 20, 2021 10   @ Texas L 71-75 33%    
  Feb 22, 2021 100   @ TCU W 74-66 74%    
  Feb 27, 2021 150   Kansas St. W 77-61 94%    
Projected Record 16 - 8 8 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 2.4 0.8 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 6.5 2.8 0.1 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 9.1 5.6 0.3 16.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 8.7 9.4 0.7 0.0 20.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 8.3 11.0 1.9 0.0 23.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 7.0 8.1 2.6 0.1 20.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.2 10.2 18.0 23.9 22.0 13.7 5.6 1.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 16.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.0% 100.0% 21.6% 78.4% 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 5.6% 100.0% 15.5% 84.5% 2.1 1.7 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-8 13.7% 100.0% 11.4% 88.6% 3.1 1.1 3.4 4.4 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
9-9 22.0% 100.0% 7.9% 92.1% 4.3 0.3 1.6 4.4 6.7 5.1 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
8-10 23.9% 99.5% 6.1% 93.4% 5.9 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.5 5.2 5.2 3.8 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.5%
7-11 18.0% 94.0% 3.8% 90.2% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.5 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 1.1 93.8%
6-12 10.2% 68.1% 2.5% 65.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 3.3 67.3%
5-13 4.2% 29.6% 1.6% 28.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.0 28.4%
4-14 1.1% 6.9% 1.3% 5.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.6%
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.4% 6.9% 84.5% 5.7 3.7 7.9 11.5 14.3 12.8 10.1 7.6 5.3 5.0 4.4 4.2 3.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.6 90.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 1.3 75.6 23.3 1.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 100.0% 1.3 72.9 25.0 2.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 100.0% 1.6 46.1 47.0 7.0