Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#198
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#200
Pace75.3#49
Improvement-1.8#273

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#176
First Shot+1.5#141
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#270
Layup/Dunks+3.9#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#345
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#169
Freethrows+3.1#19
Improvement-2.2#305

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#244
First Shot-0.2#181
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#311
Layups/Dunks-3.1#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#108
Freethrows-0.5#201
Improvement+0.5#146
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.5% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 26.6% 50.7% 20.9%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 6.0% 0.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.9% 17.6% 40.2%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round1.7% 3.3% 1.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Away) - 19.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 55 - 10
Quad 45 - 310 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 205   UNC Wilmington W 98-76 51%     1 - 0 +19.0 +10.6 +5.6
  Nov 27, 2020 291   Troy L 64-66 69%     1 - 1 -9.9 -16.4 +6.6
  Nov 28, 2020 239   @ UNC Asheville W 83-81 OT 51%     2 - 1 -1.0 -4.5 +3.3
  Dec 06, 2020 304   Tennessee Tech W 76-75 OT 78%     3 - 1 -9.9 -12.5 +2.5
  Dec 12, 2020 314   @ N.C. A&T W 104-98 OT 71%     4 - 1 -2.6 +9.9 -13.5
  Dec 15, 2020 72   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 68-93 13%     4 - 2 -15.8 -0.3 -14.5
  Dec 18, 2020 203   @ College of Charleston W 76-70 OT 44%     5 - 2 +4.9 -2.5 +7.1
  Dec 30, 2020 138   @ East Tennessee St. L 78-86 27%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -4.3 +4.5 -8.4
  Jan 16, 2021 145   @ Mercer L 76-78 28%     5 - 4 0 - 2 +1.2 -0.6 +1.8
  Jan 18, 2021 261   @ Samford L 78-82 56%     5 - 5 0 - 3 -8.3 -4.2 -3.9
  Jan 20, 2021 138   East Tennessee St. L 48-59 39%     5 - 6 0 - 4 -10.9 -21.8 +10.7
  Jan 23, 2021 119   @ Wofford L 69-77 19%    
  Jan 27, 2021 212   @ VMI L 80-81 41%    
  Jan 30, 2021 261   Samford W 83-78 73%    
  Feb 03, 2021 175   Chattanooga W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 06, 2021 286   @ The Citadel W 89-86 57%    
  Feb 10, 2021 212   VMI W 81-79 63%    
  Feb 13, 2021 88   @ Furman L 73-84 13%    
  Feb 17, 2021 175   @ Chattanooga L 73-77 33%    
  Feb 20, 2021 119   Wofford L 71-75 39%    
  Feb 24, 2021 118   @ UNC Greensboro L 69-77 20%    
  Feb 27, 2021 145   Mercer L 78-80 46%    
Projected Record 10 - 12 5 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 4.7 1.4 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.2 3.6 7.7 2.7 0.1 14.3 7th
8th 0.4 5.3 11.1 4.7 0.3 21.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 8.1 12.1 5.2 0.4 27.5 9th
10th 0.7 3.1 7.6 7.2 2.7 0.3 0.0 21.5 10th
Total 0.7 3.2 9.2 15.7 20.3 20.3 15.4 9.4 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 12.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.3% 15.2% 15.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
9-9 1.4% 8.9% 8.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3
8-10 4.2% 7.2% 7.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.9
7-11 9.4% 4.5% 4.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.0
6-12 15.4% 2.5% 2.5% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 15.0
5-13 20.3% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.1 0.3 20.0
4-14 20.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 20.0
3-15 15.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 15.6
2-16 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.2
1-17 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%