Western Illinois
Summit League
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#317
Expected Predictive Rating-15.0#329
Pace75.2#53
Improvement+1.2#101

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#305
First Shot-4.0#277
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#237
Layup/Dunks+2.1#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#312
Freethrows-0.5#203
Improvement+0.3#143

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#310
First Shot-6.2#327
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#128
Layups/Dunks-4.3#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
Freethrows-1.4#268
Improvement+0.9#117
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 0.0% 5.6%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 25.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 81 - 10
Quad 43 - 74 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 03, 2020 4   @ Iowa L 58-99 1%     0 - 1 -20.6 -19.7 +5.4
  Dec 06, 2020 249   Central Michigan L 73-79 37%     0 - 2 -13.2 -11.7 -1.0
  Dec 09, 2020 164   @ Miami (OH) L 57-67 13%     0 - 3 -8.7 -15.2 +6.1
  Dec 12, 2020 230   @ Eastern Illinois L 88-92 23%     0 - 4 -6.8 +3.1 -9.4
  Dec 20, 2020 342   @ Tennessee Martin W 81-63 60%     1 - 4 +4.7 -3.1 +7.6
  Dec 23, 2020 109   @ DePaul L 72-91 7%     1 - 5 -12.8 -4.3 -6.3
  Jan 02, 2021 161   North Dakota St. L 50-68 20%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -19.7 -21.7 +1.4
  Jan 03, 2021 161   North Dakota St. L 67-78 20%     1 - 7 0 - 2 -12.7 +0.5 -14.4
  Jan 08, 2021 98   @ South Dakota St. L 77-83 6%     1 - 8 0 - 3 +0.8 +1.2 -0.2
  Jan 09, 2021 98   @ South Dakota St. L 63-92 6%     1 - 9 0 - 4 -22.2 -13.4 -7.4
  Jan 22, 2021 174   South Dakota L 60-65 23%     1 - 10 0 - 5 -7.7 -10.4 +2.3
  Jan 23, 2021 174   South Dakota L 70-78 25%    
  Jan 29, 2021 278   @ North Dakota L 69-74 27%    
  Jan 30, 2021 278   @ North Dakota L 69-74 27%    
  Feb 06, 2021 268   @ Nebraska Omaha L 73-79 25%    
  Feb 07, 2021 268   @ Nebraska Omaha L 73-79 23%    
  Feb 12, 2021 326   Denver W 79-76 66%    
  Feb 13, 2021 326   Denver W 79-76 65%    
  Feb 27, 2021 160   @ Oral Roberts L 74-87 10%    
  Feb 28, 2021 160   @ Oral Roberts L 74-87 10%    
Projected Record 4 - 16 3 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.2 5th
6th 0.6 2.6 1.5 0.2 4.9 6th
7th 0.1 3.5 8.9 5.3 0.9 18.7 7th
8th 1.1 10.5 17.8 7.7 0.7 0.0 37.9 8th
9th 4.2 13.9 14.5 4.4 0.3 37.3 9th
10th 10th
Total 4.2 15.0 25.1 25.8 17.5 8.9 2.9 0.5 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.1% 0.1
7-9 0.5% 0.5
6-10 2.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-11 8.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 8.8
4-12 17.5% 17.5
3-13 25.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 25.7
2-14 25.1% 25.1
1-15 15.0% 15.0
0-16 4.2% 4.2
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.2%