Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#268
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#318
Pace65.5#282
Improvement-1.0#241

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#275
First Shot-6.4#316
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#58
Layup/Dunks-2.9#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#163
Freethrows-3.9#336
Improvement-1.1#260

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#240
First Shot-2.5#246
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#170
Layups/Dunks-0.5#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#315
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#202
Freethrows+1.4#97
Improvement+0.1#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 0.8% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.6% 4.7% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.0% 15.1% 38.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Home) - 49.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 60 - 8
Quad 31 - 51 - 13
Quad 44 - 66 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 100   @ Butler L 62-66 12%     0 - 1 +2.4 -3.5 +5.6
  Dec 06, 2020 43   @ Michigan St. L 61-79 5%     0 - 2 -5.2 -2.6 -3.2
  Dec 12, 2020 251   Detroit Mercy L 57-67 53%     0 - 3 -17.2 -16.1 -2.1
  Dec 13, 2020 182   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 63-71 38%     0 - 4 -11.1 -8.9 -2.4
  Dec 18, 2020 246   Central Michigan W 76-61 52%     1 - 4 1 - 0 +8.1 +1.0 +7.9
  Dec 22, 2020 137   Ball St. L 68-76 26%     1 - 5 1 - 1 -7.8 -1.6 -6.5
  Jan 02, 2021 75   Toledo L 59-70 13%     1 - 6 1 - 2 -5.0 -12.1 +6.8
  Jan 09, 2021 115   @ Kent St. L 54-80 13%     1 - 7 1 - 3 -20.5 -17.6 -2.9
  Jan 12, 2021 92   Buffalo L 69-85 17%     1 - 8 1 - 4 -12.1 -6.6 -4.8
  Jan 16, 2021 205   Miami (OH) L 65-67 49%    
  Jan 19, 2021 241   @ Eastern Michigan L 64-67 34%    
  Jan 23, 2021 146   Akron L 65-71 33%    
  Jan 26, 2021 121   @ Ohio L 65-76 12%    
  Jan 30, 2021 205   @ Miami (OH) L 64-69 28%    
  Feb 02, 2021 293   Northern Illinois W 65-62 68%    
  Feb 06, 2021 109   @ Bowling Green L 65-77 10%    
  Feb 09, 2021 92   @ Buffalo L 68-81 9%    
  Feb 13, 2021 121   Ohio L 67-75 27%    
  Feb 16, 2021 115   Kent St. L 66-75 25%    
  Feb 20, 2021 246   @ Central Michigan L 73-76 35%    
  Feb 27, 2021 75   @ Toledo L 62-78 7%    
  Mar 02, 2021 293   @ Northern Illinois W 64-63 46%    
  Mar 05, 2021 241   Eastern Michigan W 66-65 55%    
Projected Record 5 - 18 5 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 1.8 0.8 0.1 4.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.0 1.5 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 5.5 6.8 2.6 0.2 0.0 15.9 8th
9th 0.6 6.0 8.1 2.8 0.2 0.0 17.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 5.0 8.9 3.3 0.2 0.0 17.8 10th
11th 0.4 4.6 9.3 3.4 0.3 0.0 18.0 11th
12th 1.3 4.8 6.5 2.5 0.2 0.0 15.3 12th
Total 1.3 5.2 11.5 17.5 19.3 17.7 12.8 8.0 4.1 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-10 1.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 1.7
9-11 4.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1
8-12 8.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.0
7-13 12.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.8
6-14 17.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.7
5-15 19.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.3
4-16 17.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.4
3-17 11.5% 11.5
2-18 5.2% 5.2
1-19 1.3% 1.3
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%