Pre-tourney Rankings
America East
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
68 Vermont 100.0%   13   27 - 5 17 - 1 27 - 5 17 - 1 +8.3      +4.6 62 +3.7 80 64.2 289 +6.9 84 +8.7 1
238 Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0%   17 - 14 11 - 7 17 - 14 11 - 7 -3.9      +0.8 160 -4.7 303 70.4 108 -3.2 219 -3.5 2
243 Stony Brook 0.0%   17 - 12 10 - 7 17 - 12 10 - 7 -4.6      +1.2 139 -5.8 326 69.7 124 -1.9 202 -4.2 3
247 New Hampshire 0.0%   13 - 13 10 - 8 13 - 13 10 - 8 -4.7      -0.5 190 -4.2 288 58.6 353 -5.7 258 -4.9 4
257 Umass Lowell 0.0%   12 - 16 7 - 11 12 - 16 7 - 11 -5.3      -4.7 297 -0.5 192 69.1 146 -6.7 275 -9.4 8
281 Hartford 0.0%   11 - 20 8 - 9 11 - 20 8 - 9 -7.0      -1.1 201 -5.9 328 67.9 188 -9.2 307 -6.8 6
285 Albany 0.0%   13 - 18 9 - 9 13 - 18 9 - 9 -7.5      -7.5 341 0.0 175 64.7 266 -6.5 272 -6.1 5
288 Binghamton 0.0%   10 - 17 8 - 10 10 - 17 8 - 10 -7.5      -5.3 315 -2.2 239 67.6 194 -8.1 290 -7.6 7
341 NJIT 0.0%   10 - 18 6 - 12 10 - 18 6 - 12 -12.3      -9.1 353 -3.3 267 66.2 231 -9.0 305 -10.0 9
352 Maine 0.0%   3 - 23 3 - 15 3 - 23 3 - 15 -14.9      -7.5 343 -7.4 345 66.0 237 -17.6 354 -15.1 10






Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Vermont 1.0 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 2.0 100.0
Stony Brook 3.0 100.0
New Hampshire 3.0 100.0
Umass Lowell 8.0 100.0
Hartford 6.0 100.0
Albany 5.0 100.0
Binghamton 6.0 100.0
NJIT 9.0 100.0
Maine 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Vermont 17 - 1 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11 - 7 100.0
Stony Brook 10 - 8 100.0
New Hampshire 10 - 8 100.0
Umass Lowell 7 - 11 100.0
Hartford 8 - 10 100.0
Albany 9 - 9 100.0
Binghamton 8 - 10 100.0
NJIT 6 - 12 100.0
Maine 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 100.0% 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co.
Stony Brook
New Hampshire
Umass Lowell
Hartford
Albany
Binghamton
NJIT
Maine


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.1 5.8 93.5 0.6
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid
First
Four
First
Round
Second
Round
Sweet
Sixteen
Elite
Eight
Final
Four
Final
Game
Champion
Vermont 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 26.0% 9.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NJIT 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 26.0% 0.3 74.0 26.0
Sweet Sixteen 9.2% 0.1 90.8 9.2
Elite Eight 1.9% 0.0 98.1 1.9
Final Four 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0