Pre-tourney Rankings
Big South
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
156 Longwood 100.0%   15   22 - 6 15 - 1 22 - 6 15 - 1 +0.6      +1.9 121 -1.3 212 65.5 253 +3.0 125 +8.6 1
174 Winthrop 0.0%   20 - 9 14 - 2 20 - 9 14 - 2 -0.4      +1.5 133 -1.9 235 71.0 99 +3.3 118 +5.5 2
195 Gardner-Webb 0.0%   15 - 13 11 - 5 15 - 13 11 - 5 -1.6      -5.1 310 +3.5 84 68.5 163 -2.4 212 -1.0 3
234 Campbell 0.0%   13 - 13 8 - 8 13 - 13 8 - 8 -3.8      -2.3 239 -1.5 217 59.2 347 -4.6 245 -5.9 6
235 UNC Asheville 0.0%   13 - 14 8 - 8 13 - 14 8 - 8 -3.8      -1.5 217 -2.3 241 67.0 209 -5.3 254 -5.8 5
252 High Point 0.0%   11 - 18 7 - 9 11 - 18 7 - 9 -5.0      -3.5 270 -1.5 216 66.6 216 -6.7 274 -7.3 8
279 Presbyterian 0.0%   9 - 20 4 - 12 9 - 20 4 - 12 -6.7      -5.0 304 -1.7 224 62.4 328 -8.1 287 -12.2 11
284 South Carolina Upstate 0.0%   12 - 16 10 - 6 12 - 16 10 - 6 -7.4      -1.6 219 -5.8 327 70.4 109 -5.5 256 -2.3 4
287 Radford 0.0%   9 - 18 7 - 9 9 - 18 7 - 9 -7.5      -5.0 303 -2.5 246 62.6 323 -8.0 286 -7.1 7
298 N.C. A&T 0.0%   9 - 20 6 - 10 9 - 20 6 - 10 -8.1      -4.6 293 -3.5 275 69.3 135 -8.1 288 -8.8 9
331 Hampton 0.0%   7 - 19 5 - 11 7 - 19 5 - 11 -10.8      -8.3 349 -2.6 254 71.2 92 -10.3 323 -10.0 10
350 Charleston Southern 0.0%   3 - 25 1 - 15 3 - 25 1 - 15 -14.5      -7.4 340 -7.1 344 72.2 71 -16.1 352 -20.2 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Longwood 1.0 100.0
Winthrop 2.0 100.0
Gardner-Webb 3.0 100.0
Campbell 5.0 100.0
UNC Asheville 5.0 100.0
High Point 7.0 100.0
Presbyterian 11.0 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 4.0 100.0
Radford 7.0 100.0
N.C. A&T 9.0 100.0
Hampton 10.0 100.0
Charleston Southern 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Longwood 15 - 1 100.0
Winthrop 14 - 2 100.0
Gardner-Webb 11 - 5 100.0
Campbell 8 - 8 100.0
UNC Asheville 8 - 8 100.0
High Point 7 - 9 100.0
Presbyterian 4 - 12 100.0
South Carolina Upstate 10 - 6 100.0
Radford 7 - 9 100.0
N.C. A&T 6 - 10 100.0
Hampton 5 - 11 100.0
Charleston Southern 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Longwood 100.0% 100.0
Winthrop
Gardner-Webb
Campbell
UNC Asheville
High Point
Presbyterian
South Carolina Upstate
Radford
N.C. A&T
Hampton
Charleston Southern


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Longwood 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   2.2 39.4 56.8 1.7
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Longwood 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
High Point 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0
2nd Round 5.1% 0.1 94.9 5.1
Sweet Sixteen 0.7% 0.0 99.3 0.7
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0